Variations in sub-daily precipitation at centennial scale

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Authors

  • Kristian Förster
  • Luisa Bianca Thiele
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Original languageEnglish
Article number13
Journalnpj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Volume3
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - 3 Apr 2020

Abstract

Due to data availability long-term variations in precipitation rates are mostly studied based on daily precipitation recordings. Recent research suggests, however, that variations in sub-daily precipitation are subject to higher dynamics compared to daily precipitation and a more rapid intensification is likely. Here we show that both observational data with at least 58 years of sub-daily precipitation records and a dynamical downscaling approach with low spatial resolution based on atmospheric re-analysis data confirm these expectations with consistent results. High percentiles of precipitation are subject to multi-decadal oscillations and increased during the last 150 years. We found an increase of 4% K−1 (daily), 12% K−1 (hourly), and 13% K−1 (10 min), which is consistent with Clausius–Clapeyron- (CC) and super CC-scaling, respectively. These findings highlight that dynamical downscaling can help to reliably shed light on sub-daily precipitation variations if small timescales are considered in the experiments.

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Variations in sub-daily precipitation at centennial scale. / Förster, Kristian; Thiele, Luisa Bianca.
In: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Vol. 3, No. 1, 13, 03.04.2020.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Förster, K & Thiele, LB 2020, 'Variations in sub-daily precipitation at centennial scale', npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, vol. 3, no. 1, 13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-020-0117-1
Förster, K., & Thiele, L. B. (2020). Variations in sub-daily precipitation at centennial scale. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 3(1), Article 13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-020-0117-1
Förster K, Thiele LB. Variations in sub-daily precipitation at centennial scale. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 2020 Apr 3;3(1):13. doi: 10.1038/s41612-020-0117-1
Förster, Kristian ; Thiele, Luisa Bianca. / Variations in sub-daily precipitation at centennial scale. In: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 2020 ; Vol. 3, No. 1.
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