The impact of trade preferences removal: Evidence from the Belarus Generalized System of Preferences withdrawal

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Authors

  • Hinnerk Gnutzmann
  • Arevik Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan

Research Organisations

External Research Organisations

  • Munich Society for the Promotion of Economic Research - CESifo GmbH
  • Belarusian Economic Research and Outreach Center (BEROC)
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2977-3000
Number of pages24
JournalWorld Economy
Volume45
Issue number9
Early online date15 Mar 2022
Publication statusPublished - 2 Sept 2022

Abstract

Under the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP), high-income countries grant unilateral trade preferences to developing countries. These preferences are subject to political conditionality, but little is known about the trade impact of loss of preferential access. We study the EU's complete withdrawal of GSP preferences from Belarus in 2007 in response to labour rights violations to fill this void. The withdrawal caused a significant drop in trade for affected products (25%–27% trade decline) and some trade reduction at the extensive margin. For products where trade was affected at the intensive margin, there is some evidence of adjustment through falls in quantities but also through prices for larger export sectors. The impact was uneven across sectors, with textiles and plastics particularly strongly affected by the withdrawal.

Keywords

    Belarus, generalized system of preferences, GSP, preference withdrawal

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Sustainable Development Goals

Cite this

The impact of trade preferences removal: Evidence from the Belarus Generalized System of Preferences withdrawal. / Gnutzmann, Hinnerk; Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, Arevik.
In: World Economy, Vol. 45, No. 9, 02.09.2022, p. 2977-3000.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Gnutzmann H, Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan A. The impact of trade preferences removal: Evidence from the Belarus Generalized System of Preferences withdrawal. World Economy. 2022 Sept 2;45(9):2977-3000. Epub 2022 Mar 15. doi: 10.1111/twec.13265
Gnutzmann, Hinnerk ; Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, Arevik. / The impact of trade preferences removal : Evidence from the Belarus Generalized System of Preferences withdrawal. In: World Economy. 2022 ; Vol. 45, No. 9. pp. 2977-3000.
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