Ten new insights in climate science 2023

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Authors

  • Mercedes Bustamante
  • Joyashree Roy
  • Daniel Ospina
  • Ploy Achakulwisut
  • Anubha Aggarwal
  • Ana Bastos
  • Wendy Broadgate
  • Josep G. Canadell
  • Edward R. Carr
  • Deliang Chen
  • Helen A. Cleugh
  • Kristie L. Ebi
  • Clea Edwards
  • Carol Farbotko
  • Marcos Fernández-Martínez
  • Thomas L. Frölicher
  • Sabine Fuss
  • Oliver Geden
  • Nicolas Gruber
  • Luke J. Harrington
  • Judith Hauck
  • Zeke Hausfather
  • Sophie Hebden
  • Aniek Hebinck
  • Saleemul Huq
  • Matthias Huss
  • M. P.Laurice Jamero
  • Sirkku Juhola
  • Nilushi Kumarasinghe
  • Shuaib Lwasa
  • Bishawjit Mallick
  • Maria Martin
  • Steven McGreevy
  • Paula Mirazo
  • Aditi Mukherji
  • Greg Muttitt
  • Gregory F. Nemet
  • David Obura
  • Chukwumerije Okereke
  • Tom Oliver
  • Ben Orlove
  • Nadia S. Ouedraogo
  • Prabir K. Patra
  • Mark Pelling
  • Laura M. Pereira
  • Åsa Persson
  • Julia Pongratz
  • Anjal Prakash
  • Anja Rammig
  • Colin Raymond
  • Aaron Redman
  • Cristobal Reveco
  • Johan Rockström
  • Regina Rodrigues
  • David R. Rounce
  • E. F.Lisa Schipper
  • Peter Schlosser
  • Odirilwe Selomane
  • Gregor Semieniuk
  • Yunne Jai Shin
  • Tasneem A. Siddiqui
  • Vartika Singh
  • Giles B. Sioen
  • Youba Sokona
  • Detlef Stammer
  • Norman J. Steinert
  • Sunhee Suk
  • Rowan Sutton
  • Lisa Thalheimer
  • Vikki Thompson
  • Gregory Trencher
  • Kees van der Geest
  • Saskia E. Werners
  • Thea Wübbelmann
  • Nico Wunderling
  • Jiabo Yin
  • Kirsten Zickfeld
  • Jakob Zscheischler

External Research Organisations

  • Universidade de Brasilia
  • Asian Institute of Technology
  • Future Earth Secretariat Sweden
  • Stockholm Environment Institute
  • University of Delhi
  • Max Planck Institute of Biogeochemistry (MPI-BGC)
  • Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO)
  • Clark University
  • University of Gothenburg
  • Australian National University
  • University of Washington
  • Arizona State University
  • Griffith University Queensland
  • CREAF - Centre for Ecological Research and Forestry Applications
  • University of Bern
  • Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC)
  • Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin (HU Berlin)
  • Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP )Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
  • ETH Zurich
  • University of Waikato
  • Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI) Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
  • Stripe
  • Berkeley Earth
  • Erasmus University Rotterdam
  • International Centre for Climate Change & Development (ICCCAD)
  • International Institute for Environment & Development (IIED)
  • Independent University, Bangladesh
  • Ateneo de Manila University
  • University of Helsinki
  • Future Earth Secretariat Canada
  • Sustainability in the Digital Age
  • Utrecht University
  • Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
  • University of Twente
  • CGIAR
  • International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD)
  • University of Wisconsin
  • CORDIO East Africa
  • University of Reading
  • Columbia University
  • UN Economic Commission for Africa
  • Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC)
  • Research Institute for Humanity and Nature
  • University College London (UCL)
  • University of the Witwatersrand
  • Stockholm University
  • Linkoping University
  • Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (LMU)
  • Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI-M)
  • Indian School of Business (ISB)
  • Technical University of Munich (TUM)
  • University of California (UCLA)
  • Monitoring and Evaluating Climate Communication and Education Project (MECCE)
  • Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Materials and Coastal Research
  • University of Potsdam
  • Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina
  • Carnegie Mellon University
  • University of Bonn
  • University of Pretoria
  • University of Massachusetts Amherst
  • Université Montpellier
  • University of Dhaka
  • International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
  • Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad
  • Future Earth Secretariat Japan
  • National Institute for Environmental Studies of Japan
  • African Climate Policy Centre
  • Universität Hamburg
  • Norwegian Research Centre (NORCE)
  • Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research
  • Nagasaki University
  • UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS)
  • University of Oxford
  • Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute
  • Kyoto University
  • Wageningen University and Research
  • Wuhan University
  • Simon Fraser University
  • Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ)
  • Technische Universität Dresden
View graph of relations

Details

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere19
JournalGlobal Sustainability
Volume7
Early online date1 Dec 2023
Publication statusPublished - 2024
Externally publishedYes

Abstract

Non-technical summary. We identify a set of essential recent advances in climate change research with high policy relevance, across natural and social sciences: (1) looming inevitability and implications of overshooting the 1.5°C warming limit, (2) urgent need for a rapid and managed fossil fuel phase-out, (3) challenges for scaling carbon dioxide removal, (4) uncertainties regarding the future contribution of natural carbon sinks, (5) intertwinedness of the crises of biodiversity loss and climate change, (6) compound events, (7) mountain glacier loss, (8) human immobility in the face of climate risks, (9) adaptation justice, and (10) just transitions in food systems. Technical summary. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Reports provides the scientific foundation for international climate negotiations and constitutes an unmatched resource for researchers. However, the assessment cycles take multiple years. As a contribution to cross- and interdisciplinary understanding of climate change across diverse research communities, we have streamlined an annual process to identify and synthesize significant research advances. We collected input from experts on various fields using an online questionnaire and prioritized a set of 10 key research insights with high policy relevance. This year, we focus on: (1) the looming overshoot of the 1.5°C warming limit, (2) the urgency of fossil fuel phase-out, (3) challenges to scale-up carbon dioxide removal, (4) uncertainties regarding future natural carbon sinks, (5) the need for joint governance of biodiversity loss and climate change, (6) advances in understanding compound events, (7) accelerated mountain glacier loss, (8) human immobility amidst climate risks, (9) adaptation justice, and (10) just transitions in food systems. We present a succinct account of these insights, reflect on their policy implications, and offer an integrated set of policy-relevant messages. This science synthesis and science communication effort is also the basis for a policy report contributing to elevate climate science every year in time for the United Nations Climate Change Conference. Social media summary. We highlight recent and policy-relevant advances in climate change research – with input from more than 200 experts.

Keywords

    Climate risks, Earth system governance, just transition, mitigation and adaptation, science-policy, vulnerability

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Sustainable Development Goals

Cite this

Ten new insights in climate science 2023. / Bustamante, Mercedes; Roy, Joyashree; Ospina, Daniel et al.
In: Global Sustainability, Vol. 7, e19, 2024.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Bustamante, M, Roy, J, Ospina, D, Achakulwisut, P, Aggarwal, A, Bastos, A, Broadgate, W, Canadell, JG, Carr, ER, Chen, D, Cleugh, HA, Ebi, KL, Edwards, C, Farbotko, C, Fernández-Martínez, M, Frölicher, TL, Fuss, S, Geden, O, Gruber, N, Harrington, LJ, Hauck, J, Hausfather, Z, Hebden, S, Hebinck, A, Huq, S, Huss, M, Jamero, MPL, Juhola, S, Kumarasinghe, N, Lwasa, S, Mallick, B, Martin, M, McGreevy, S, Mirazo, P, Mukherji, A, Muttitt, G, Nemet, GF, Obura, D, Okereke, C, Oliver, T, Orlove, B, Ouedraogo, NS, Patra, PK, Pelling, M, Pereira, LM, Persson, Å, Pongratz, J, Prakash, A, Rammig, A, Raymond, C, Redman, A, Reveco, C, Rockström, J, Rodrigues, R, Rounce, DR, Schipper, EFL, Schlosser, P, Selomane, O, Semieniuk, G, Shin, YJ, Siddiqui, TA, Singh, V, Sioen, GB, Sokona, Y, Stammer, D, Steinert, NJ, Suk, S, Sutton, R, Thalheimer, L, Thompson, V, Trencher, G, van der Geest, K, Werners, SE, Wübbelmann, T, Wunderling, N, Yin, J, Zickfeld, K & Zscheischler, J 2024, 'Ten new insights in climate science 2023', Global Sustainability, vol. 7, e19. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2023.25
Bustamante, M., Roy, J., Ospina, D., Achakulwisut, P., Aggarwal, A., Bastos, A., Broadgate, W., Canadell, J. G., Carr, E. R., Chen, D., Cleugh, H. A., Ebi, K. L., Edwards, C., Farbotko, C., Fernández-Martínez, M., Frölicher, T. L., Fuss, S., Geden, O., Gruber, N., ... Zscheischler, J. (2024). Ten new insights in climate science 2023. Global Sustainability, 7, Article e19. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2023.25
Bustamante M, Roy J, Ospina D, Achakulwisut P, Aggarwal A, Bastos A et al. Ten new insights in climate science 2023. Global Sustainability. 2024;7:e19. Epub 2023 Dec 1. doi: 10.1017/sus.2023.25
Bustamante, Mercedes ; Roy, Joyashree ; Ospina, Daniel et al. / Ten new insights in climate science 2023. In: Global Sustainability. 2024 ; Vol. 7.
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@article{51bc40e74329498fa6fcf73986466437,
title = "Ten new insights in climate science 2023",
abstract = "Non-technical summary. We identify a set of essential recent advances in climate change research with high policy relevance, across natural and social sciences: (1) looming inevitability and implications of overshooting the 1.5°C warming limit, (2) urgent need for a rapid and managed fossil fuel phase-out, (3) challenges for scaling carbon dioxide removal, (4) uncertainties regarding the future contribution of natural carbon sinks, (5) intertwinedness of the crises of biodiversity loss and climate change, (6) compound events, (7) mountain glacier loss, (8) human immobility in the face of climate risks, (9) adaptation justice, and (10) just transitions in food systems. Technical summary. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Reports provides the scientific foundation for international climate negotiations and constitutes an unmatched resource for researchers. However, the assessment cycles take multiple years. As a contribution to cross- and interdisciplinary understanding of climate change across diverse research communities, we have streamlined an annual process to identify and synthesize significant research advances. We collected input from experts on various fields using an online questionnaire and prioritized a set of 10 key research insights with high policy relevance. This year, we focus on: (1) the looming overshoot of the 1.5°C warming limit, (2) the urgency of fossil fuel phase-out, (3) challenges to scale-up carbon dioxide removal, (4) uncertainties regarding future natural carbon sinks, (5) the need for joint governance of biodiversity loss and climate change, (6) advances in understanding compound events, (7) accelerated mountain glacier loss, (8) human immobility amidst climate risks, (9) adaptation justice, and (10) just transitions in food systems. We present a succinct account of these insights, reflect on their policy implications, and offer an integrated set of policy-relevant messages. This science synthesis and science communication effort is also the basis for a policy report contributing to elevate climate science every year in time for the United Nations Climate Change Conference. Social media summary. We highlight recent and policy-relevant advances in climate change research – with input from more than 200 experts.",
keywords = "Climate risks, Earth system governance, just transition, mitigation and adaptation, science-policy, vulnerability",
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year = "2024",
doi = "10.1017/sus.2023.25",
language = "English",
volume = "7",

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Download

TY - JOUR

T1 - Ten new insights in climate science 2023

AU - Bustamante, Mercedes

AU - Roy, Joyashree

AU - Ospina, Daniel

AU - Achakulwisut, Ploy

AU - Aggarwal, Anubha

AU - Bastos, Ana

AU - Broadgate, Wendy

AU - Canadell, Josep G.

AU - Carr, Edward R.

AU - Chen, Deliang

AU - Cleugh, Helen A.

AU - Ebi, Kristie L.

AU - Edwards, Clea

AU - Farbotko, Carol

AU - Fernández-Martínez, Marcos

AU - Frölicher, Thomas L.

AU - Fuss, Sabine

AU - Geden, Oliver

AU - Gruber, Nicolas

AU - Harrington, Luke J.

AU - Hauck, Judith

AU - Hausfather, Zeke

AU - Hebden, Sophie

AU - Hebinck, Aniek

AU - Huq, Saleemul

AU - Huss, Matthias

AU - Jamero, M. P.Laurice

AU - Juhola, Sirkku

AU - Kumarasinghe, Nilushi

AU - Lwasa, Shuaib

AU - Mallick, Bishawjit

AU - Martin, Maria

AU - McGreevy, Steven

AU - Mirazo, Paula

AU - Mukherji, Aditi

AU - Muttitt, Greg

AU - Nemet, Gregory F.

AU - Obura, David

AU - Okereke, Chukwumerije

AU - Oliver, Tom

AU - Orlove, Ben

AU - Ouedraogo, Nadia S.

AU - Patra, Prabir K.

AU - Pelling, Mark

AU - Pereira, Laura M.

AU - Persson, Åsa

AU - Pongratz, Julia

AU - Prakash, Anjal

AU - Rammig, Anja

AU - Raymond, Colin

AU - Redman, Aaron

AU - Reveco, Cristobal

AU - Rockström, Johan

AU - Rodrigues, Regina

AU - Rounce, David R.

AU - Schipper, E. F.Lisa

AU - Schlosser, Peter

AU - Selomane, Odirilwe

AU - Semieniuk, Gregor

AU - Shin, Yunne Jai

AU - Siddiqui, Tasneem A.

AU - Singh, Vartika

AU - Sioen, Giles B.

AU - Sokona, Youba

AU - Stammer, Detlef

AU - Steinert, Norman J.

AU - Suk, Sunhee

AU - Sutton, Rowan

AU - Thalheimer, Lisa

AU - Thompson, Vikki

AU - Trencher, Gregory

AU - van der Geest, Kees

AU - Werners, Saskia E.

AU - Wübbelmann, Thea

AU - Wunderling, Nico

AU - Yin, Jiabo

AU - Zickfeld, Kirsten

AU - Zscheischler, Jakob

N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2023 Cambridge University Press. All rights reserved.

PY - 2024

Y1 - 2024

N2 - Non-technical summary. We identify a set of essential recent advances in climate change research with high policy relevance, across natural and social sciences: (1) looming inevitability and implications of overshooting the 1.5°C warming limit, (2) urgent need for a rapid and managed fossil fuel phase-out, (3) challenges for scaling carbon dioxide removal, (4) uncertainties regarding the future contribution of natural carbon sinks, (5) intertwinedness of the crises of biodiversity loss and climate change, (6) compound events, (7) mountain glacier loss, (8) human immobility in the face of climate risks, (9) adaptation justice, and (10) just transitions in food systems. Technical summary. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Reports provides the scientific foundation for international climate negotiations and constitutes an unmatched resource for researchers. However, the assessment cycles take multiple years. As a contribution to cross- and interdisciplinary understanding of climate change across diverse research communities, we have streamlined an annual process to identify and synthesize significant research advances. We collected input from experts on various fields using an online questionnaire and prioritized a set of 10 key research insights with high policy relevance. This year, we focus on: (1) the looming overshoot of the 1.5°C warming limit, (2) the urgency of fossil fuel phase-out, (3) challenges to scale-up carbon dioxide removal, (4) uncertainties regarding future natural carbon sinks, (5) the need for joint governance of biodiversity loss and climate change, (6) advances in understanding compound events, (7) accelerated mountain glacier loss, (8) human immobility amidst climate risks, (9) adaptation justice, and (10) just transitions in food systems. We present a succinct account of these insights, reflect on their policy implications, and offer an integrated set of policy-relevant messages. This science synthesis and science communication effort is also the basis for a policy report contributing to elevate climate science every year in time for the United Nations Climate Change Conference. Social media summary. We highlight recent and policy-relevant advances in climate change research – with input from more than 200 experts.

AB - Non-technical summary. We identify a set of essential recent advances in climate change research with high policy relevance, across natural and social sciences: (1) looming inevitability and implications of overshooting the 1.5°C warming limit, (2) urgent need for a rapid and managed fossil fuel phase-out, (3) challenges for scaling carbon dioxide removal, (4) uncertainties regarding the future contribution of natural carbon sinks, (5) intertwinedness of the crises of biodiversity loss and climate change, (6) compound events, (7) mountain glacier loss, (8) human immobility in the face of climate risks, (9) adaptation justice, and (10) just transitions in food systems. Technical summary. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Reports provides the scientific foundation for international climate negotiations and constitutes an unmatched resource for researchers. However, the assessment cycles take multiple years. As a contribution to cross- and interdisciplinary understanding of climate change across diverse research communities, we have streamlined an annual process to identify and synthesize significant research advances. We collected input from experts on various fields using an online questionnaire and prioritized a set of 10 key research insights with high policy relevance. This year, we focus on: (1) the looming overshoot of the 1.5°C warming limit, (2) the urgency of fossil fuel phase-out, (3) challenges to scale-up carbon dioxide removal, (4) uncertainties regarding future natural carbon sinks, (5) the need for joint governance of biodiversity loss and climate change, (6) advances in understanding compound events, (7) accelerated mountain glacier loss, (8) human immobility amidst climate risks, (9) adaptation justice, and (10) just transitions in food systems. We present a succinct account of these insights, reflect on their policy implications, and offer an integrated set of policy-relevant messages. This science synthesis and science communication effort is also the basis for a policy report contributing to elevate climate science every year in time for the United Nations Climate Change Conference. Social media summary. We highlight recent and policy-relevant advances in climate change research – with input from more than 200 experts.

KW - Climate risks

KW - Earth system governance

KW - just transition

KW - mitigation and adaptation

KW - science-policy

KW - vulnerability

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85180482014&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1017/sus.2023.25

DO - 10.1017/sus.2023.25

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85180482014

VL - 7

JO - Global Sustainability

JF - Global Sustainability

M1 - e19

ER -

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