Strategic supply network planning with vendor selection under consideration of risk and demand uncertainty

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Authors

  • Florian Sahling
  • Ariane Kayser

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Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)201-214
Number of pages14
JournalOMEGA-INT J MANAGE S
Volume59
Publication statusPublished - 1 Mar 2016

Abstract

We present a stochastic version of a three-layer supply network planning problem that includes the selection of vendors that must be equipped with company-specific tools. The configuration of a supply network must be determined by using demand forecasts for a long planning horizon to meet a given service level. The risk induced by the uncertain demand is explicitly considered by incorporating the conditional value at risk. The objective is to maximize the weighted sum of the expected net present value of discounted cash flows and the conditional value at risk. This would lead to a non-linear model formulation that is approximated by a mixed-integer linear model. This approximation is realized by a piecewise linearization of the expected backlogs and physical inventory as non-linear functions of cumulative production quantities. A two-stage stochastic programming approach is proposed. Our numerical analysis of generic test instances indicates that solving the linearized model formulation yields a robust and stable supply network configuration when demand is uncertain.

Keywords

    Conditional value at risk, Linearization, Robust optimization, Stochastic demand, Supply network planning

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Strategic supply network planning with vendor selection under consideration of risk and demand uncertainty. / Sahling, Florian; Kayser, Ariane.
In: OMEGA-INT J MANAGE S, Vol. 59, 01.03.2016, p. 201-214.

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