Sampling and active learning methods for network reliability estimation using K-terminal spanning tree

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Authors

  • Chen Ding
  • Pengfei Wei
  • Yan Shi
  • Jinxing Liu
  • Matteo Broggi
  • Michael Beer

Research Organisations

External Research Organisations

  • Northwestern Polytechnical University
  • University of Liverpool
  • Tongji University
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number110309
Number of pages18
JournalReliability Engineering and System Safety
Volume250
Early online date27 Jun 2024
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 27 Jun 2024

Abstract

Network reliability analysis remains a challenge due to the increasing size and complexity of networks. This paper presents a novel sampling method and an active learning method for efficient and accurate network reliability estimation under node failure and edge failure scenarios. The proposed sampling method adopts Monte Carlo technique to sample component lifetimes and the K-terminal spanning tree algorithm to accelerate structure function computation. Unlike existing methods that compute only one structure function value per sample, our method generates multiple component state vectors and corresponding structure function values from each sample. Network reliability is estimated based on survival signatures derived from these values. A transformation technique extends this method to handle both node failure and edge failure. To enhance efficiency of proposed sampling method and achieve adaptability to network topology changes, we introduce an active learning method utilizing a random forest (RF) classifier. This classifier directly predicts structure function values, integrates network behaviors across diverse topologies, and undergoes iterative refinement to enhance predictive accuracy. Importantly, the trained RF classifier can directly predict reliability for variant networks, a capability beyond the sampling method alone. Through investigating several network examples and two practical applications, the effectiveness of both proposed methods is demonstrated.

Keywords

    Active learning, K-terminal spanning tree, Monte Carlo simulation, Network reliability, Random forest classification, Survival signature

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Sampling and active learning methods for network reliability estimation using K-terminal spanning tree. / Ding, Chen; Wei, Pengfei; Shi, Yan et al.
In: Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Vol. 250, 110309, 10.2024.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Ding C, Wei P, Shi Y, Liu J, Broggi M, Beer M. Sampling and active learning methods for network reliability estimation using K-terminal spanning tree. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 2024 Oct;250:110309. Epub 2024 Jun 27. doi: 10.1016/j.ress.2024.110309
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AU - Wei, Pengfei

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AU - Broggi, Matteo

AU - Beer, Michael

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