Details
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 324-343 |
| Number of pages | 20 |
| Journal | International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management |
| Volume | 5 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| Publication status | Published - 2013 |
| Externally published | Yes |
Abstract
Purpose: The authors aim to provide here an opinion on the state-of-the-art of integrated ecological-economic assessments of bioenergy under climate change, as well as the challenges along with their implications faced in planning adaptation at local scale. Design/methodology/approach: Investments to reduce emissions must be made in the coming decades to avoid the risks posed by climate change. If these investments are made wisely, then costs will be manageable, stability in markets as well as energy security will be achieved, and even rural development and economic growth may be stimulated. The authors call attention to the need for modeling of climate change impacts by combining the outputs from appropriately designed crop simulation models with economic analyses. Combining natural science and economics in a compatible fashion at local scale will play an essential role in advancing communication and information exchange. Findings: There are key differences in drivers or determinants of mitigation and adaptation potential and decisions at different scales, which means that different actors, different timescales and different spatial scales of decision making must be specifically considered. Understanding of the potential impacts of climate change requires disaggregation of the agricultural sector with appropriate detail. A critical trade-off exists between area-wide spatial coverage and an explicit consideration of local peculiarities. Originality/value: The authors suggest that a much stronger effort must be made to meld natural science crop modeling approaches with economic analyses, to include spatially explicit consideration of conventional crop production along with 1st and 2nd generation bioenergy crops, and the evaluation not only of "best guess" scenarios of change, but also potential system impacts of extreme scenarios.
Keywords
- Bioenergy, Climate change, Crop simulation, Economic assessment, Economics, Local scale
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Environmental Science(all)
- Global and Planetary Change
- Social Sciences(all)
- Geography, Planning and Development
- Social Sciences(all)
- Development
- Environmental Science(all)
- Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
Sustainable Development Goals
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In: International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, Vol. 5, No. 3, 2013, p. 324-343.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Research › peer review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Review of integrated ecological-economic analyses for bioenergy plants under climate change at local scale
AU - Nguyen, Trung Thanh
AU - Tenhunen, John
PY - 2013
Y1 - 2013
N2 - Purpose: The authors aim to provide here an opinion on the state-of-the-art of integrated ecological-economic assessments of bioenergy under climate change, as well as the challenges along with their implications faced in planning adaptation at local scale. Design/methodology/approach: Investments to reduce emissions must be made in the coming decades to avoid the risks posed by climate change. If these investments are made wisely, then costs will be manageable, stability in markets as well as energy security will be achieved, and even rural development and economic growth may be stimulated. The authors call attention to the need for modeling of climate change impacts by combining the outputs from appropriately designed crop simulation models with economic analyses. Combining natural science and economics in a compatible fashion at local scale will play an essential role in advancing communication and information exchange. Findings: There are key differences in drivers or determinants of mitigation and adaptation potential and decisions at different scales, which means that different actors, different timescales and different spatial scales of decision making must be specifically considered. Understanding of the potential impacts of climate change requires disaggregation of the agricultural sector with appropriate detail. A critical trade-off exists between area-wide spatial coverage and an explicit consideration of local peculiarities. Originality/value: The authors suggest that a much stronger effort must be made to meld natural science crop modeling approaches with economic analyses, to include spatially explicit consideration of conventional crop production along with 1st and 2nd generation bioenergy crops, and the evaluation not only of "best guess" scenarios of change, but also potential system impacts of extreme scenarios.
AB - Purpose: The authors aim to provide here an opinion on the state-of-the-art of integrated ecological-economic assessments of bioenergy under climate change, as well as the challenges along with their implications faced in planning adaptation at local scale. Design/methodology/approach: Investments to reduce emissions must be made in the coming decades to avoid the risks posed by climate change. If these investments are made wisely, then costs will be manageable, stability in markets as well as energy security will be achieved, and even rural development and economic growth may be stimulated. The authors call attention to the need for modeling of climate change impacts by combining the outputs from appropriately designed crop simulation models with economic analyses. Combining natural science and economics in a compatible fashion at local scale will play an essential role in advancing communication and information exchange. Findings: There are key differences in drivers or determinants of mitigation and adaptation potential and decisions at different scales, which means that different actors, different timescales and different spatial scales of decision making must be specifically considered. Understanding of the potential impacts of climate change requires disaggregation of the agricultural sector with appropriate detail. A critical trade-off exists between area-wide spatial coverage and an explicit consideration of local peculiarities. Originality/value: The authors suggest that a much stronger effort must be made to meld natural science crop modeling approaches with economic analyses, to include spatially explicit consideration of conventional crop production along with 1st and 2nd generation bioenergy crops, and the evaluation not only of "best guess" scenarios of change, but also potential system impacts of extreme scenarios.
KW - Bioenergy
KW - Climate change
KW - Crop simulation
KW - Economic assessment
KW - Economics
KW - Local scale
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84879976324&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1108/IJCCSM-04-2012-0020
DO - 10.1108/IJCCSM-04-2012-0020
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84879976324
VL - 5
SP - 324
EP - 343
JO - International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management
JF - International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management
SN - 1756-8692
IS - 3
ER -