Quantifying risk in the electricity business: A RAROC-based approach

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Authors

External Research Organisations

  • University of Mannheim
  • Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT)
  • University of California at Santa Barbara
  • EnBW Trading GmbH
  • Queensland University of Technology
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1033-1049
Number of pages17
JournalEnergy Economics
Volume29
Issue number5
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sept 2007
Externally publishedYes

Abstract

The liberalization of electricity markets has forced energy producing companies and traders to calculate costs closer to the profit frontier. Thus, an efficient risk management and risk controlling are needed to ensure the financial survival even during bad times. Using the RAROC methodology we provide a new framework to quantify risks related to wholesale electricity contracts, also called full load contracts. We do not only consider risk of market price fluctuations but also correlation effects between the spot market price and the load curve of a customer. We further conduct an empirical study on whole sale contracts for industry customers and public utility companies of a German energy provider. Our findings support the adequateness of the approach and point out the importance of considering also price-volume correlation effects for electricity whole sale contracts.

Keywords

    Load contracts, Power markets, RAROC, Risk management, Spot market prices

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Quantifying risk in the electricity business: A RAROC-based approach. / Prokopczuk, Marcel; Rachev, Svetlozar T.; Schindlmayr, Gero et al.
In: Energy Economics, Vol. 29, No. 5, 01.09.2007, p. 1033-1049.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Prokopczuk M, Rachev ST, Schindlmayr G, Trück S. Quantifying risk in the electricity business: A RAROC-based approach. Energy Economics. 2007 Sept 1;29(5):1033-1049. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2006.08.006
Prokopczuk, Marcel ; Rachev, Svetlozar T. ; Schindlmayr, Gero et al. / Quantifying risk in the electricity business : A RAROC-based approach. In: Energy Economics. 2007 ; Vol. 29, No. 5. pp. 1033-1049.
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abstract = "The liberalization of electricity markets has forced energy producing companies and traders to calculate costs closer to the profit frontier. Thus, an efficient risk management and risk controlling are needed to ensure the financial survival even during bad times. Using the RAROC methodology we provide a new framework to quantify risks related to wholesale electricity contracts, also called full load contracts. We do not only consider risk of market price fluctuations but also correlation effects between the spot market price and the load curve of a customer. We further conduct an empirical study on whole sale contracts for industry customers and public utility companies of a German energy provider. Our findings support the adequateness of the approach and point out the importance of considering also price-volume correlation effects for electricity whole sale contracts.",
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AB - The liberalization of electricity markets has forced energy producing companies and traders to calculate costs closer to the profit frontier. Thus, an efficient risk management and risk controlling are needed to ensure the financial survival even during bad times. Using the RAROC methodology we provide a new framework to quantify risks related to wholesale electricity contracts, also called full load contracts. We do not only consider risk of market price fluctuations but also correlation effects between the spot market price and the load curve of a customer. We further conduct an empirical study on whole sale contracts for industry customers and public utility companies of a German energy provider. Our findings support the adequateness of the approach and point out the importance of considering also price-volume correlation effects for electricity whole sale contracts.

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