Nonparametric Bayesian stochastic model updating with hybrid uncertainties

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  • Beijing Institute of Technology
  • University of Liverpool
  • Tongji University
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Original languageEnglish
Article number108195
JournalMechanical Systems and Signal Processing
Volume163
Early online date13 Jul 2021
Publication statusPublished - 15 Jan 2022

Abstract

This work proposes a novel methodology to fulfil the challenging expectation in stochastic model updating to calibrate the probabilistic distributions of parameters without any assumption about the distribution formats. To achieve this task, an approximate Bayesian computation model updating framework is developed by employing staircase random variables and the Bhattacharyya distance. In this framework, parameters with aleatory and epistemic uncertainties are described by staircase random variables. The discrepancy between model predictions and observations is then quantified by the Bhattacharyya distance-based approximate likelihood. In addition, a Bayesian updating using the Euclidian distance is performed as preconditioner to avoid non-unique solutions. The performance of the proposed procedure is demonstrated with two exemplary applications, a simulated shear building model example and a challenging benchmark problem for uncertainty treatment. These examples demonstrate feasibility of the combined application of staircase random variables and the Bhattacharyya distance in stochastic model updating and uncertainty characterization.

Keywords

    Approximate Bayesian computation, Bhattacharyya distance, Nonparametric probability-box, Staircase random variable, Stochastic model updating

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Nonparametric Bayesian stochastic model updating with hybrid uncertainties. / Kitahara, Masaru; Bi, Sifeng; Broggi, Matteo et al.
In: Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, Vol. 163, 108195, 15.01.2022.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Kitahara M, Bi S, Broggi M, Beer M. Nonparametric Bayesian stochastic model updating with hybrid uncertainties. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing. 2022 Jan 15;163:108195. Epub 2021 Jul 13. doi: 10.1016/j.ymssp.2021.108195
Kitahara, Masaru ; Bi, Sifeng ; Broggi, Matteo et al. / Nonparametric Bayesian stochastic model updating with hybrid uncertainties. In: Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing. 2022 ; Vol. 163.
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