Mixed traffic trajectory prediction using LSTM–based models in shared space

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Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationGeospatial Technologies for All - Selected Papers of the 21st AGILE Conference on Geographic Information Science
Pages309-325
Number of pages17
Publication statusPublished - 24 Dec 2018
Event21st AGILE Conference on Geographic Information Science, 2018 - Lund, Sweden
Duration: 12 Jun 201815 Jun 2018

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography
ISSN (Print)1863-2246
ISSN (electronic)1863-2351

Abstract

Real–world behaviors of human road users in a non-regulated space (shared space) are complex. Firstly, there is no explicit regulation in such an area. Users self-organize to share the space. They are more likely to use as little energy as possible to reach their destinations in the shortest possible way, and try to avoid any potential collision. Secondly, different types of users (pedestrians, cyclists, and vehicles) behave differently. For example, pedestrians are more flexible to change their speed and trajectory, while cyclists and vehicles are more or less limited by their travel device—abrupt changes might lead to danger. While there are established models to describe the behavior of individual humans (e.g. Social Force model), due to the heterogeneity of transport modes and diversity of environments, hand-crafted models have difficulties in handling complicated interactions in mixed traffic. To this end, this paper proposes using a Long Short–Term Memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks based deep learning approach to model user behaviors. It encodes user position coordinates, sight of view, and interactions between different types of neighboring users as spatio–temporal features to predict future trajectories with collision avoidance. The real–world data–driven method can be trained with pre-defined neural networks to circumvent complex manual design and calibration. The results show that ViewType-LSTM, which mimics how a human sees and reacts to different transport modes can well predict mixed traffic trajectories in a shared space at least in the next 3 s, and is also robust in complicated situations.

Keywords

    Long short–term memory, Mixed traffic, Shared space, Trajectory prediction

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Mixed traffic trajectory prediction using LSTM–based models in shared space. / Cheng, Hao; Sester, Monika.
Geospatial Technologies for All - Selected Papers of the 21st AGILE Conference on Geographic Information Science. 2018. p. 309-325 (Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography).

Research output: Chapter in book/report/conference proceedingConference contributionResearchpeer review

Cheng, H & Sester, M 2018, Mixed traffic trajectory prediction using LSTM–based models in shared space. in Geospatial Technologies for All - Selected Papers of the 21st AGILE Conference on Geographic Information Science. Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography, pp. 309-325, 21st AGILE Conference on Geographic Information Science, 2018, Lund, Sweden, 12 Jun 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-78208-9_16
Cheng, H., & Sester, M. (2018). Mixed traffic trajectory prediction using LSTM–based models in shared space. In Geospatial Technologies for All - Selected Papers of the 21st AGILE Conference on Geographic Information Science (pp. 309-325). (Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-78208-9_16
Cheng H, Sester M. Mixed traffic trajectory prediction using LSTM–based models in shared space. In Geospatial Technologies for All - Selected Papers of the 21st AGILE Conference on Geographic Information Science. 2018. p. 309-325. (Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography). doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-78208-9_16
Cheng, Hao ; Sester, Monika. / Mixed traffic trajectory prediction using LSTM–based models in shared space. Geospatial Technologies for All - Selected Papers of the 21st AGILE Conference on Geographic Information Science. 2018. pp. 309-325 (Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography).
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abstract = "Real–world behaviors of human road users in a non-regulated space (shared space) are complex. Firstly, there is no explicit regulation in such an area. Users self-organize to share the space. They are more likely to use as little energy as possible to reach their destinations in the shortest possible way, and try to avoid any potential collision. Secondly, different types of users (pedestrians, cyclists, and vehicles) behave differently. For example, pedestrians are more flexible to change their speed and trajectory, while cyclists and vehicles are more or less limited by their travel device—abrupt changes might lead to danger. While there are established models to describe the behavior of individual humans (e.g. Social Force model), due to the heterogeneity of transport modes and diversity of environments, hand-crafted models have difficulties in handling complicated interactions in mixed traffic. To this end, this paper proposes using a Long Short–Term Memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks based deep learning approach to model user behaviors. It encodes user position coordinates, sight of view, and interactions between different types of neighboring users as spatio–temporal features to predict future trajectories with collision avoidance. The real–world data–driven method can be trained with pre-defined neural networks to circumvent complex manual design and calibration. The results show that ViewType-LSTM, which mimics how a human sees and reacts to different transport modes can well predict mixed traffic trajectories in a shared space at least in the next 3 s, and is also robust in complicated situations.",
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