Karst collapse risk zonation and evaluation in Wuhan, China based on analytic hierarchy process, logistic regression, and insar angular distortion approaches

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Authors

  • Jiyuan Hu
  • Mahdi Motagh
  • Jiayao Wang
  • Fen Qin
  • Jianchen Zhang
  • Wenhao Wu
  • Yakun Han

External Research Organisations

  • Henan University
  • Helmholtz Centre Potsdam - German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ)
  • Hunan University of Science and Technology
  • Chengdu University of Technology
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number5063
JournalRemote sensing
Volume13
Issue number24
Early online date14 Dec 2021
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2021

Abstract

The current study presents a detailed assessment of risk zones related to karst collapse in Wuhan by analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and logistic regression (LR) models. The results showed that the LR model was more accurate with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.911 compared to 0.812 derived from the AHP model. Both models performed well in identifying high-risk zones with only a 3% discrepancy in area. However, for the medium-and low-risk classes, although the spatial distribution of risk zoning results were similar between two approaches, the spatial extent of the risk areas varied between final models. The reliability of both methods were reduced significantly by excluding the InSAR-based ground subsidence map from the analysis, with the karst collapse presence falling into the high-risk zone being reduced by approximately 14%, and karst collapse absence falling into the karst area being increased by approximately 6.5% on the training samples. To evaluate the practicality of using only results from ground subsidence maps for the risk zonation, the results of AHP and LR are compared with a weighted angular distortion (WAD) method for karst risk zoning in Wuhan. We find that the areas with relatively large subsidence horizontal gradient values within the karst belts are generally spatially consistent with high-risk class areas identified by the AHP-and LR-based approaches. However, the WAD-based approach cannot be used alone as an ideal karst collapse risk assessment model as it does not include geological and natural factors into the risk zonation.

Keywords

    Analytical hierarchy process, Karst collapse, Logistic regression, Risk zonation, Weighted angular distortion method

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Karst collapse risk zonation and evaluation in Wuhan, China based on analytic hierarchy process, logistic regression, and insar angular distortion approaches. / Hu, Jiyuan; Motagh, Mahdi; Wang, Jiayao et al.
In: Remote sensing, Vol. 13, No. 24, 5063, 12.2021.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Hu J, Motagh M, Wang J, Qin F, Zhang J, Wu W et al. Karst collapse risk zonation and evaluation in Wuhan, China based on analytic hierarchy process, logistic regression, and insar angular distortion approaches. Remote sensing. 2021 Dec;13(24):5063. Epub 2021 Dec 14. doi: 10.3390/rs13245063, 10.15488/12513
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title = "Karst collapse risk zonation and evaluation in Wuhan, China based on analytic hierarchy process, logistic regression, and insar angular distortion approaches",
abstract = "The current study presents a detailed assessment of risk zones related to karst collapse in Wuhan by analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and logistic regression (LR) models. The results showed that the LR model was more accurate with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.911 compared to 0.812 derived from the AHP model. Both models performed well in identifying high-risk zones with only a 3% discrepancy in area. However, for the medium-and low-risk classes, although the spatial distribution of risk zoning results were similar between two approaches, the spatial extent of the risk areas varied between final models. The reliability of both methods were reduced significantly by excluding the InSAR-based ground subsidence map from the analysis, with the karst collapse presence falling into the high-risk zone being reduced by approximately 14%, and karst collapse absence falling into the karst area being increased by approximately 6.5% on the training samples. To evaluate the practicality of using only results from ground subsidence maps for the risk zonation, the results of AHP and LR are compared with a weighted angular distortion (WAD) method for karst risk zoning in Wuhan. We find that the areas with relatively large subsidence horizontal gradient values within the karst belts are generally spatially consistent with high-risk class areas identified by the AHP-and LR-based approaches. However, the WAD-based approach cannot be used alone as an ideal karst collapse risk assessment model as it does not include geological and natural factors into the risk zonation.",
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note = "Funding Information: Funding: This research was sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 42174037), the Key Laboratory of Geo-space Environment and Geodesy, the Ministry of Education, Wuhan University (No. 19-02-04), and Henan Provincial Key R&D and Promotion Special Project (Science and Technology Research) (No. 212102310414). ",
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T1 - Karst collapse risk zonation and evaluation in Wuhan, China based on analytic hierarchy process, logistic regression, and insar angular distortion approaches

AU - Hu, Jiyuan

AU - Motagh, Mahdi

AU - Wang, Jiayao

AU - Qin, Fen

AU - Zhang, Jianchen

AU - Wu, Wenhao

AU - Han, Yakun

N1 - Funding Information: Funding: This research was sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 42174037), the Key Laboratory of Geo-space Environment and Geodesy, the Ministry of Education, Wuhan University (No. 19-02-04), and Henan Provincial Key R&D and Promotion Special Project (Science and Technology Research) (No. 212102310414).

PY - 2021/12

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N2 - The current study presents a detailed assessment of risk zones related to karst collapse in Wuhan by analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and logistic regression (LR) models. The results showed that the LR model was more accurate with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.911 compared to 0.812 derived from the AHP model. Both models performed well in identifying high-risk zones with only a 3% discrepancy in area. However, for the medium-and low-risk classes, although the spatial distribution of risk zoning results were similar between two approaches, the spatial extent of the risk areas varied between final models. The reliability of both methods were reduced significantly by excluding the InSAR-based ground subsidence map from the analysis, with the karst collapse presence falling into the high-risk zone being reduced by approximately 14%, and karst collapse absence falling into the karst area being increased by approximately 6.5% on the training samples. To evaluate the practicality of using only results from ground subsidence maps for the risk zonation, the results of AHP and LR are compared with a weighted angular distortion (WAD) method for karst risk zoning in Wuhan. We find that the areas with relatively large subsidence horizontal gradient values within the karst belts are generally spatially consistent with high-risk class areas identified by the AHP-and LR-based approaches. However, the WAD-based approach cannot be used alone as an ideal karst collapse risk assessment model as it does not include geological and natural factors into the risk zonation.

AB - The current study presents a detailed assessment of risk zones related to karst collapse in Wuhan by analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and logistic regression (LR) models. The results showed that the LR model was more accurate with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.911 compared to 0.812 derived from the AHP model. Both models performed well in identifying high-risk zones with only a 3% discrepancy in area. However, for the medium-and low-risk classes, although the spatial distribution of risk zoning results were similar between two approaches, the spatial extent of the risk areas varied between final models. The reliability of both methods were reduced significantly by excluding the InSAR-based ground subsidence map from the analysis, with the karst collapse presence falling into the high-risk zone being reduced by approximately 14%, and karst collapse absence falling into the karst area being increased by approximately 6.5% on the training samples. To evaluate the practicality of using only results from ground subsidence maps for the risk zonation, the results of AHP and LR are compared with a weighted angular distortion (WAD) method for karst risk zoning in Wuhan. We find that the areas with relatively large subsidence horizontal gradient values within the karst belts are generally spatially consistent with high-risk class areas identified by the AHP-and LR-based approaches. However, the WAD-based approach cannot be used alone as an ideal karst collapse risk assessment model as it does not include geological and natural factors into the risk zonation.

KW - Analytical hierarchy process

KW - Karst collapse

KW - Logistic regression

KW - Risk zonation

KW - Weighted angular distortion method

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DO - 10.3390/rs13245063

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