Jumps in commodity markets

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  • ICMA Centre
  • University of Reading
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Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)55-70
Number of pages16
JournalJournal of Commodity Markets
Volume13
Early online date17 Oct 2018
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2019

Abstract

This paper investigates price jumps in commodity markets. We find that jumps are rare and extreme events but occur less frequently than in stock markets. Nonetheless, jump correlations across commodities can be high depending on the commodity sectors. Energy, metal and grains commodities show high jump correlations while jumps of meats and softs commodities are barely correlated. Looking at cross-market correlations, we find that returns of commodities co-move with the stock market, while jumps can be diversified. Most commodities are strong hedges for U.S. Dollar returns but weak hedges for U.S. Dollar jumps. Most commodities act as both return and jump hedges for Treasury notes.

Keywords

    Commodities, Hedge, Jump risk, Tail risk

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Jumps in commodity markets. / Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno; Prokopczuk, Marcel.
In: Journal of Commodity Markets, Vol. 13, 03.2019, p. 55-70.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Nguyen, DBB & Prokopczuk, M 2019, 'Jumps in commodity markets', Journal of Commodity Markets, vol. 13, pp. 55-70. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcomm.2018.10.002
Nguyen, D. B. B., & Prokopczuk, M. (2019). Jumps in commodity markets. Journal of Commodity Markets, 13, 55-70. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcomm.2018.10.002
Nguyen DBB, Prokopczuk M. Jumps in commodity markets. Journal of Commodity Markets. 2019 Mar;13:55-70. Epub 2018 Oct 17. doi: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2018.10.002
Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno ; Prokopczuk, Marcel. / Jumps in commodity markets. In: Journal of Commodity Markets. 2019 ; Vol. 13. pp. 55-70.
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