Intra-industry contagion effects of earnings surprises in the banking sector

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Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1601-1613
Number of pages13
JournalApplied Financial Economics
Volume20
Issue number20
Publication statusPublished - 14 Oct 2010
Externally publishedYes

Abstract

In this article we investigate whether contagion is present in the banking sector by analysing how banks are affected by negative earnings surprises from their competitors. The banking sector is of crucial importance for the economy and, thus, highly regulated on an individual bank level. However, a high degree of contagion risk should call for a regulation of the financial network rather than solely regulating on an individual level. To be able to make a judgement about the magnitude of possible contagion effects we compare the results of the banking sector with the results of the nonbanking industries. We find that earnings surprises cause significant contagion in the banking sector. In contrast, we do not find this effect in the nonbanking sectors, including the insurance sector. The magnitude of contagion in the banking sector is positively related with the size of the bank reporting an earnings surprise, as well as the size of the affected banks.

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Intra-industry contagion effects of earnings surprises in the banking sector. / Prokopczuk, Marcel.
In: Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 20, No. 20, 14.10.2010, p. 1601-1613.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

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