Details
Original language | English |
---|---|
Pages (from-to) | 80-84 |
Number of pages | 5 |
Journal | Economics letters |
Volume | 144 |
Early online date | 4 May 2016 |
Publication status | Published - Jul 2016 |
Abstract
Time-varying volatility is often present in time series data and can have adverse effects when inferring about the persistence properties of examined series. This note analyzes the effects of such nonstationarity on periodogram-based inference for the fractional integration parameter. Based on asymptotic arguments and Monte Carlo simulations, we show that the log-periodogram regression estimator remains consistent, but has asymptotic distribution whose variance depends on the variation of the volatility of the series.
Keywords
- Fractional integration, Heteroskedasticity, Modulated process, Persistence, Time-varying variance
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Economics, Econometrics and Finance(all)
- Finance
- Economics, Econometrics and Finance(all)
- Economics and Econometrics
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In: Economics letters, Vol. 144, 07.2016, p. 80-84.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Research › peer review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Inference on the long-memory properties of time series with non-stationary volatility
AU - Demetrescu, Matei
AU - Sibbertsen, Philipp
N1 - Funding Information: The authors would like to thank an anonymous referee, Jörg Breitung, Uwe Hassler, Liudas Giraitis and Maya Olivares for very helpful comments and suggestions, as well as Benjamin Hillmann for computational research assistance. The authors gratefully acknowledge the support of the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) through the projects DE 1617/4-1 and SI 745/9-1.
PY - 2016/7
Y1 - 2016/7
N2 - Time-varying volatility is often present in time series data and can have adverse effects when inferring about the persistence properties of examined series. This note analyzes the effects of such nonstationarity on periodogram-based inference for the fractional integration parameter. Based on asymptotic arguments and Monte Carlo simulations, we show that the log-periodogram regression estimator remains consistent, but has asymptotic distribution whose variance depends on the variation of the volatility of the series.
AB - Time-varying volatility is often present in time series data and can have adverse effects when inferring about the persistence properties of examined series. This note analyzes the effects of such nonstationarity on periodogram-based inference for the fractional integration parameter. Based on asymptotic arguments and Monte Carlo simulations, we show that the log-periodogram regression estimator remains consistent, but has asymptotic distribution whose variance depends on the variation of the volatility of the series.
KW - Fractional integration
KW - Heteroskedasticity
KW - Modulated process
KW - Persistence
KW - Time-varying variance
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84967235620&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.econlet.2016.04.034
DO - 10.1016/j.econlet.2016.04.034
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84967235620
VL - 144
SP - 80
EP - 84
JO - Economics letters
JF - Economics letters
SN - 0165-1765
ER -