Global mean sea level variations and the land water cycle at the inter-annual scale during the 2014-2016 El Niño episode

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Authors

  • Wei Chen
  • Min Zhong
  • Yulong Zhong
  • Wei Feng
  • Mingyue Zhang

External Research Organisations

  • CAS - Innovation Academy for Precision Measurement Science and Technology (APM)
  • University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (UCAS)
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2116-2124
Number of pages9
JournalKexue Tongbao/Chinese Science Bulletin
Volume62
Issue number19
Publication statusPublished - 7 Jun 2017
Externally publishedYes

Abstract

Since 1993, the global mean sea level (GMSL) has been rising at a rate of about 3 mm/a detected by multi-satellite radar altimetry. The spaceborne gravimetry satellite, Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), has been monitoring Earth's surface water mass variations since 2002. La Niña and El Niño events induces inter-annual variations of the GMSL manifest in ocean mass and steric sea level changes, linked with corresponding changes in land water cycle. Here we study the GMSL inter-annual variations and global land water mass changes integrating satellite altimetry, GRACE and Argo data, 2010-2016, during which strong La Niña and El Niño events occurred. First, we quantify the evolutions of GMSL during the study time period. The results show that during the 2010-2011 La Niña episode, the GMSL dropped rapidly to 7.6 mm, with the ocean mass and the steric sea level decreased to 5.1 mm and to 1.8 mm, respectively. GMSL then increased to 19.2 mm, with ocean mass increased to 12.3 mm during 2011-2013. From 2013 to 2014, the steric GMSL increased by 2.1 mm, and the ocean mass variations dropped by 2.3 mm, thus the total GMSL remains nearly unchanged. During the strong 2014-2016 El Niño, ocean mass variations increased by 13.1 mm and contributed over 90% of GMSL change, which rises up by 15.1 mm. Next, we analyze land water mass changes in four regions, namely Australia and Southeast Asia, South America, North America, Antartica and Greenland, and investigate their linkage to the GMSL inter-annual variations. Here, we used the Forward Modelling (FM) method for GRACE data post-processing to reduce signal leakage problem to estimate land water storage mass changes. The results show that during the 2014-2016 El Niño episode, the global ocean mass increasing is mainly due to the total land water storage decreasing in Australia and Southeast Asia, South America, and Antartica and Greenland. The inter-annual variations of global ocean mass variation during 2003-2016 is closely linked with the land water storage changes from Australia and Southeast Asia and the South America regions, which are strongly affected by La Niña and El Niño events. During 2003-2016, the ice ablations from the Antartica and Greenland ice sheets directly contributed to GMSL rising, as opposed to the land water mass increase in the North America region, which has a negative effect on GMSL trend. Finally, we estimated the GMSL, ocean mass and steric sea level trends at 3.4±0.4, 2.1±0.3, and 1.1±0.2 mm/a, respectively during 2003-2016, and 6.5±1.2, 4.1±1.0, and 1.9±0.4 mm/a, respectively during 2010-2016. We concluded that the ocean mass variation contributed to the GMSL trend two times larger than that of the steric sea level contribution during these two time periods. However the ocean mass variation is roughly equivalent to the steric sea level variation during 2003-2010.

Keywords

    El Niño, GMSL, Land water cycle, Ocean mass variations

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Sustainable Development Goals

Cite this

Global mean sea level variations and the land water cycle at the inter-annual scale during the 2014-2016 El Niño episode. / Chen, Wei; Zhong, Min; Zhong, Yulong et al.
In: Kexue Tongbao/Chinese Science Bulletin, Vol. 62, No. 19, 07.06.2017, p. 2116-2124.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Chen, W, Zhong, M, Zhong, Y, Feng, W & Zhang, M 2017, 'Global mean sea level variations and the land water cycle at the inter-annual scale during the 2014-2016 El Niño episode', Kexue Tongbao/Chinese Science Bulletin, vol. 62, no. 19, pp. 2116-2124. https://doi.org/10.1360/N972016-01377
Chen, W., Zhong, M., Zhong, Y., Feng, W., & Zhang, M. (2017). Global mean sea level variations and the land water cycle at the inter-annual scale during the 2014-2016 El Niño episode. Kexue Tongbao/Chinese Science Bulletin, 62(19), 2116-2124. https://doi.org/10.1360/N972016-01377
Chen W, Zhong M, Zhong Y, Feng W, Zhang M. Global mean sea level variations and the land water cycle at the inter-annual scale during the 2014-2016 El Niño episode. Kexue Tongbao/Chinese Science Bulletin. 2017 Jun 7;62(19):2116-2124. doi: 10.1360/N972016-01377
Chen, Wei ; Zhong, Min ; Zhong, Yulong et al. / Global mean sea level variations and the land water cycle at the inter-annual scale during the 2014-2016 El Niño episode. In: Kexue Tongbao/Chinese Science Bulletin. 2017 ; Vol. 62, No. 19. pp. 2116-2124.
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title = "Global mean sea level variations and the land water cycle at the inter-annual scale during the 2014-2016 El Ni{\~n}o episode",
abstract = "Since 1993, the global mean sea level (GMSL) has been rising at a rate of about 3 mm/a detected by multi-satellite radar altimetry. The spaceborne gravimetry satellite, Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), has been monitoring Earth's surface water mass variations since 2002. La Ni{\~n}a and El Ni{\~n}o events induces inter-annual variations of the GMSL manifest in ocean mass and steric sea level changes, linked with corresponding changes in land water cycle. Here we study the GMSL inter-annual variations and global land water mass changes integrating satellite altimetry, GRACE and Argo data, 2010-2016, during which strong La Ni{\~n}a and El Ni{\~n}o events occurred. First, we quantify the evolutions of GMSL during the study time period. The results show that during the 2010-2011 La Ni{\~n}a episode, the GMSL dropped rapidly to 7.6 mm, with the ocean mass and the steric sea level decreased to 5.1 mm and to 1.8 mm, respectively. GMSL then increased to 19.2 mm, with ocean mass increased to 12.3 mm during 2011-2013. From 2013 to 2014, the steric GMSL increased by 2.1 mm, and the ocean mass variations dropped by 2.3 mm, thus the total GMSL remains nearly unchanged. During the strong 2014-2016 El Ni{\~n}o, ocean mass variations increased by 13.1 mm and contributed over 90% of GMSL change, which rises up by 15.1 mm. Next, we analyze land water mass changes in four regions, namely Australia and Southeast Asia, South America, North America, Antartica and Greenland, and investigate their linkage to the GMSL inter-annual variations. Here, we used the Forward Modelling (FM) method for GRACE data post-processing to reduce signal leakage problem to estimate land water storage mass changes. The results show that during the 2014-2016 El Ni{\~n}o episode, the global ocean mass increasing is mainly due to the total land water storage decreasing in Australia and Southeast Asia, South America, and Antartica and Greenland. The inter-annual variations of global ocean mass variation during 2003-2016 is closely linked with the land water storage changes from Australia and Southeast Asia and the South America regions, which are strongly affected by La Ni{\~n}a and El Ni{\~n}o events. During 2003-2016, the ice ablations from the Antartica and Greenland ice sheets directly contributed to GMSL rising, as opposed to the land water mass increase in the North America region, which has a negative effect on GMSL trend. Finally, we estimated the GMSL, ocean mass and steric sea level trends at 3.4±0.4, 2.1±0.3, and 1.1±0.2 mm/a, respectively during 2003-2016, and 6.5±1.2, 4.1±1.0, and 1.9±0.4 mm/a, respectively during 2010-2016. We concluded that the ocean mass variation contributed to the GMSL trend two times larger than that of the steric sea level contribution during these two time periods. However the ocean mass variation is roughly equivalent to the steric sea level variation during 2003-2010.",
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author = "Wei Chen and Min Zhong and Yulong Zhong and Wei Feng and Mingyue Zhang",
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TY - JOUR

T1 - Global mean sea level variations and the land water cycle at the inter-annual scale during the 2014-2016 El Niño episode

AU - Chen, Wei

AU - Zhong, Min

AU - Zhong, Yulong

AU - Feng, Wei

AU - Zhang, Mingyue

N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2017, Science Press. All right reserved.

PY - 2017/6/7

Y1 - 2017/6/7

N2 - Since 1993, the global mean sea level (GMSL) has been rising at a rate of about 3 mm/a detected by multi-satellite radar altimetry. The spaceborne gravimetry satellite, Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), has been monitoring Earth's surface water mass variations since 2002. La Niña and El Niño events induces inter-annual variations of the GMSL manifest in ocean mass and steric sea level changes, linked with corresponding changes in land water cycle. Here we study the GMSL inter-annual variations and global land water mass changes integrating satellite altimetry, GRACE and Argo data, 2010-2016, during which strong La Niña and El Niño events occurred. First, we quantify the evolutions of GMSL during the study time period. The results show that during the 2010-2011 La Niña episode, the GMSL dropped rapidly to 7.6 mm, with the ocean mass and the steric sea level decreased to 5.1 mm and to 1.8 mm, respectively. GMSL then increased to 19.2 mm, with ocean mass increased to 12.3 mm during 2011-2013. From 2013 to 2014, the steric GMSL increased by 2.1 mm, and the ocean mass variations dropped by 2.3 mm, thus the total GMSL remains nearly unchanged. During the strong 2014-2016 El Niño, ocean mass variations increased by 13.1 mm and contributed over 90% of GMSL change, which rises up by 15.1 mm. Next, we analyze land water mass changes in four regions, namely Australia and Southeast Asia, South America, North America, Antartica and Greenland, and investigate their linkage to the GMSL inter-annual variations. Here, we used the Forward Modelling (FM) method for GRACE data post-processing to reduce signal leakage problem to estimate land water storage mass changes. The results show that during the 2014-2016 El Niño episode, the global ocean mass increasing is mainly due to the total land water storage decreasing in Australia and Southeast Asia, South America, and Antartica and Greenland. The inter-annual variations of global ocean mass variation during 2003-2016 is closely linked with the land water storage changes from Australia and Southeast Asia and the South America regions, which are strongly affected by La Niña and El Niño events. During 2003-2016, the ice ablations from the Antartica and Greenland ice sheets directly contributed to GMSL rising, as opposed to the land water mass increase in the North America region, which has a negative effect on GMSL trend. Finally, we estimated the GMSL, ocean mass and steric sea level trends at 3.4±0.4, 2.1±0.3, and 1.1±0.2 mm/a, respectively during 2003-2016, and 6.5±1.2, 4.1±1.0, and 1.9±0.4 mm/a, respectively during 2010-2016. We concluded that the ocean mass variation contributed to the GMSL trend two times larger than that of the steric sea level contribution during these two time periods. However the ocean mass variation is roughly equivalent to the steric sea level variation during 2003-2010.

AB - Since 1993, the global mean sea level (GMSL) has been rising at a rate of about 3 mm/a detected by multi-satellite radar altimetry. The spaceborne gravimetry satellite, Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), has been monitoring Earth's surface water mass variations since 2002. La Niña and El Niño events induces inter-annual variations of the GMSL manifest in ocean mass and steric sea level changes, linked with corresponding changes in land water cycle. Here we study the GMSL inter-annual variations and global land water mass changes integrating satellite altimetry, GRACE and Argo data, 2010-2016, during which strong La Niña and El Niño events occurred. First, we quantify the evolutions of GMSL during the study time period. The results show that during the 2010-2011 La Niña episode, the GMSL dropped rapidly to 7.6 mm, with the ocean mass and the steric sea level decreased to 5.1 mm and to 1.8 mm, respectively. GMSL then increased to 19.2 mm, with ocean mass increased to 12.3 mm during 2011-2013. From 2013 to 2014, the steric GMSL increased by 2.1 mm, and the ocean mass variations dropped by 2.3 mm, thus the total GMSL remains nearly unchanged. During the strong 2014-2016 El Niño, ocean mass variations increased by 13.1 mm and contributed over 90% of GMSL change, which rises up by 15.1 mm. Next, we analyze land water mass changes in four regions, namely Australia and Southeast Asia, South America, North America, Antartica and Greenland, and investigate their linkage to the GMSL inter-annual variations. Here, we used the Forward Modelling (FM) method for GRACE data post-processing to reduce signal leakage problem to estimate land water storage mass changes. The results show that during the 2014-2016 El Niño episode, the global ocean mass increasing is mainly due to the total land water storage decreasing in Australia and Southeast Asia, South America, and Antartica and Greenland. The inter-annual variations of global ocean mass variation during 2003-2016 is closely linked with the land water storage changes from Australia and Southeast Asia and the South America regions, which are strongly affected by La Niña and El Niño events. During 2003-2016, the ice ablations from the Antartica and Greenland ice sheets directly contributed to GMSL rising, as opposed to the land water mass increase in the North America region, which has a negative effect on GMSL trend. Finally, we estimated the GMSL, ocean mass and steric sea level trends at 3.4±0.4, 2.1±0.3, and 1.1±0.2 mm/a, respectively during 2003-2016, and 6.5±1.2, 4.1±1.0, and 1.9±0.4 mm/a, respectively during 2010-2016. We concluded that the ocean mass variation contributed to the GMSL trend two times larger than that of the steric sea level contribution during these two time periods. However the ocean mass variation is roughly equivalent to the steric sea level variation during 2003-2010.

KW - El Niño

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