Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks

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Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationEngineering Applications of Neural Networks - 13th International Conference, EANN 2012, Proceedings
EditorsShigang Yue, Lazaros Iliadis
Pages423-432
Number of pages10
Publication statusPublished - 2012
Event2012 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computational Intelligence, AICI 2012 - Chengdu, China
Duration: 26 Oct 201228 Oct 2012

Publication series

NameCommunications in Computer and Information Science
Volume311
ISSN (Print)1865-0929

Abstract

Intraday trading has some appealing characteristics. For example, overnight gap risks are greatly reduced. Intraday trading strategies tend to achieve better risk adjusted returns. However, academic literature on intraday trading strategies is relatively scarce compared to a significant amount of literature based on daily closing data. This may be partly related to the increased difficulty of dealing with intraday data. In the present paper we expand on a novel approach that builds an intraday trading strategy on open-high-low-close (OHLC) data. OHLC data is easily available from most database vendors. We use OHLC data to train neural networks that forecast the day's high and low of liquid US stocks and ETFs. The resulting long-short strategy tries to take advantage of the daily trading range of a security and exits all positions at the close. A volatility filter further improves risk-adjusted returns.

Keywords

    intraday trading, Neural networks, open-high-low-close data

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks. / von Mettenheim, Hans Jörg; Breitner, Michael H.
Engineering Applications of Neural Networks - 13th International Conference, EANN 2012, Proceedings. ed. / Shigang Yue; Lazaros Iliadis. 2012. p. 423-432 (Communications in Computer and Information Science; Vol. 311).

Research output: Chapter in book/report/conference proceedingConference contributionResearchpeer review

von Mettenheim, HJ & Breitner, MH 2012, Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks. in S Yue & L Iliadis (eds), Engineering Applications of Neural Networks - 13th International Conference, EANN 2012, Proceedings. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol. 311, pp. 423-432, 2012 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computational Intelligence, AICI 2012, Chengdu, China, 26 Oct 2012. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32909-8_43
von Mettenheim, H. J., & Breitner, M. H. (2012). Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks. In S. Yue, & L. Iliadis (Eds.), Engineering Applications of Neural Networks - 13th International Conference, EANN 2012, Proceedings (pp. 423-432). (Communications in Computer and Information Science; Vol. 311). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32909-8_43
von Mettenheim HJ, Breitner MH. Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks. In Yue S, Iliadis L, editors, Engineering Applications of Neural Networks - 13th International Conference, EANN 2012, Proceedings. 2012. p. 423-432. (Communications in Computer and Information Science). doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-32909-8_43
von Mettenheim, Hans Jörg ; Breitner, Michael H. / Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks. Engineering Applications of Neural Networks - 13th International Conference, EANN 2012, Proceedings. editor / Shigang Yue ; Lazaros Iliadis. 2012. pp. 423-432 (Communications in Computer and Information Science).
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