Details
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems |
| Subtitle of host publication | Proceedings of the 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2015 |
| Editors | Luca Podofillini, Bruno Sudret, Božidar Stojadinović, Enrico Zio, Wolfgang Kröger |
| Pages | 1983-1990 |
| Number of pages | 8 |
| Publication status | Published - 2015 |
| Externally published | Yes |
| Event | 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2015 - Zurich, Swaziland Duration: 7 Sept 2015 → 10 Sept 2015 |
Abstract
A novel, generally applicable and efficient framework for the quantification of the wave overtopping hazard is proposed. The approach adopted for the model implementation relies on the use of Bayesian Networks enhanced with System Reliability methods. The methodology ensures large flexibility in terms of representation of the uncertainties of the inputs (exact, probabilistic or intervals) as well as of the outputs. Moreover, the flexibility of the approach allows analysing several time scenarios from 2020 to 2100, taking into account different emission projections and their uncertainty. The overall aim of the study is to provide a simple and coherent framework which takes into account the expected sea level rise for the evaluation of future overtopping hazards for existing or planned sea defence structures. The model proposed is then applied to a simple case study, to highlight the advantages and drawbacks of the framework developed.
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Engineering(all)
- Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
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Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems: Proceedings of the 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2015. ed. / Luca Podofillini; Bruno Sudret; Božidar Stojadinović; Enrico Zio; Wolfgang Kröger. 2015. p. 1983-1990.
Research output: Chapter in book/report/conference proceeding › Conference contribution › Research › peer review
}
TY - GEN
T1 - Enhanced Bayesian Network approach to sea wave overtopping hazard quantification
AU - Tolo, S.
AU - Patelli, E.
AU - Beer, M.
PY - 2015
Y1 - 2015
N2 - A novel, generally applicable and efficient framework for the quantification of the wave overtopping hazard is proposed. The approach adopted for the model implementation relies on the use of Bayesian Networks enhanced with System Reliability methods. The methodology ensures large flexibility in terms of representation of the uncertainties of the inputs (exact, probabilistic or intervals) as well as of the outputs. Moreover, the flexibility of the approach allows analysing several time scenarios from 2020 to 2100, taking into account different emission projections and their uncertainty. The overall aim of the study is to provide a simple and coherent framework which takes into account the expected sea level rise for the evaluation of future overtopping hazards for existing or planned sea defence structures. The model proposed is then applied to a simple case study, to highlight the advantages and drawbacks of the framework developed.
AB - A novel, generally applicable and efficient framework for the quantification of the wave overtopping hazard is proposed. The approach adopted for the model implementation relies on the use of Bayesian Networks enhanced with System Reliability methods. The methodology ensures large flexibility in terms of representation of the uncertainties of the inputs (exact, probabilistic or intervals) as well as of the outputs. Moreover, the flexibility of the approach allows analysing several time scenarios from 2020 to 2100, taking into account different emission projections and their uncertainty. The overall aim of the study is to provide a simple and coherent framework which takes into account the expected sea level rise for the evaluation of future overtopping hazards for existing or planned sea defence structures. The model proposed is then applied to a simple case study, to highlight the advantages and drawbacks of the framework developed.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84959017046&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84959017046
SN - 9781138028791
SP - 1983
EP - 1990
BT - Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems
A2 - Podofillini, Luca
A2 - Sudret, Bruno
A2 - Stojadinović, Božidar
A2 - Zio, Enrico
A2 - Kröger, Wolfgang
T2 - 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2015
Y2 - 7 September 2015 through 10 September 2015
ER -