Endless Urban Growth? On the Mismatch of Population, Household and Urban Land Area Growth and Its Effects on the Urban Debate

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  • Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin (HU Berlin)
  • Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health
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Original languageEnglish
Article numbere66531
JournalPLOS ONE
Volume8
Issue number6
Publication statusPublished - 20 Jun 2013
Externally publishedYes

Abstract

In European cities, the rate of population growth has declined significantly, while the number of households has increased. This increase in the number of households is associated with an increase in space for housing. To date, the effects of both a declining population and decreasing household numbers remain unclear. In this paper, we analyse the relationship between population and household number development in 188 European cities from 1990-2000 and 2000-2006 to the growth of urban land area and per capita living space. Our results support a trend toward decreasing population with simultaneously increasing household number. However, we also found cites facing both a declining population and a decreasing household number. Nevertheless, the urban land area of these "double-declining" cities has continued to spread because the increasing per capita living space counteracts a reduction in land consumption. We conclude that neither a decline in population nor in household number "automatically" solve the global problem of land consumption.

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Sustainable Development Goals

Cite this

Endless Urban Growth? On the Mismatch of Population, Household and Urban Land Area Growth and Its Effects on the Urban Debate. / Haase, Dagmar; Kabisch, Nadja; Haase, Annegret.
In: PLOS ONE, Vol. 8, No. 6, e66531, 20.06.2013.

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