Details
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 102251 |
| Journal | Electoral studies |
| Volume | 69 |
| Early online date | 25 Nov 2020 |
| Publication status | Published - Feb 2021 |
Abstract
In this article we examine the impact of emotions in an independence referendum. New Caledonia – a French Pacific territory with 270,000 inhabitants – held a self-determination referendum in November 2018, in which 56% of the voters opted to remain a part of France. We conducted a post-referendum survey with 1496 respondents that included a specific battery to measure emotions as well as control variables. We find that experiencing anger with the national status of the territory increases the probability of voting for independence, while experiencing pride reduces it. These results remain after controlling for partisan, ethnic and national identification, expected effects of independence as well as sociodemographic factors. Moreover, emotions and identity interact and increase the effect of (the lack of) national identification. Beyond the effects of the traditional control variables, the results suggest that knowledge about voting behavior in independence referendums is transferable to decolonization in Pacific Islands.
Keywords
- Decolonization, Emotions, Independence, Pacific Islands, Referendum
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Social Sciences(all)
- Political Science and International Relations
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In: Electoral studies, Vol. 69, 102251, 02.2021.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Research › peer review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Emotions and voting behavior in self-determination referendums
T2 - the case of New Caledonia in 2018
AU - Brouard, Sylvain
AU - Vasilopoulos, Pavlos
AU - Gorohouna, Samuel
AU - Hönnige, Christoph
AU - Kerrouche, Eric
PY - 2021/2
Y1 - 2021/2
N2 - In this article we examine the impact of emotions in an independence referendum. New Caledonia – a French Pacific territory with 270,000 inhabitants – held a self-determination referendum in November 2018, in which 56% of the voters opted to remain a part of France. We conducted a post-referendum survey with 1496 respondents that included a specific battery to measure emotions as well as control variables. We find that experiencing anger with the national status of the territory increases the probability of voting for independence, while experiencing pride reduces it. These results remain after controlling for partisan, ethnic and national identification, expected effects of independence as well as sociodemographic factors. Moreover, emotions and identity interact and increase the effect of (the lack of) national identification. Beyond the effects of the traditional control variables, the results suggest that knowledge about voting behavior in independence referendums is transferable to decolonization in Pacific Islands.
AB - In this article we examine the impact of emotions in an independence referendum. New Caledonia – a French Pacific territory with 270,000 inhabitants – held a self-determination referendum in November 2018, in which 56% of the voters opted to remain a part of France. We conducted a post-referendum survey with 1496 respondents that included a specific battery to measure emotions as well as control variables. We find that experiencing anger with the national status of the territory increases the probability of voting for independence, while experiencing pride reduces it. These results remain after controlling for partisan, ethnic and national identification, expected effects of independence as well as sociodemographic factors. Moreover, emotions and identity interact and increase the effect of (the lack of) national identification. Beyond the effects of the traditional control variables, the results suggest that knowledge about voting behavior in independence referendums is transferable to decolonization in Pacific Islands.
KW - Decolonization
KW - Emotions
KW - Independence
KW - Pacific Islands
KW - Referendum
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85097425895&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.electstud.2020.102251
DO - 10.1016/j.electstud.2020.102251
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85097425895
VL - 69
JO - Electoral studies
JF - Electoral studies
SN - 0261-3794
M1 - 102251
ER -