Diversifying European agglomerations: Evidence of urban population trends for the 21st century

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Authors

External Research Organisations

  • Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ)
  • Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health
View graph of relations

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)236-253
Number of pages18
JournalPopulation, space and place
Volume17
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - May 2011
Externally publishedYes

Abstract

The beginning of the 21st century marks the first time in history that more than half of the world's population lives in urban areas. In Europe, more than 70% of the population lives in urban areas today. This number is likely to increase to 84% by 2050. However, a shift from growth to decline of urban population is already present for a growing number of cities. The paper examines urban population trends for 158 European agglomerations and assesses the dynamics behind one particular development of growth or decline. Using data from 1991 to 2004, we present statistical evidence of diversifying population trajectories for core cities and fringe areas. The quantitative results are contrasted with the widespread accepted cyclical urbanisation model that has been expounded as a theoretical approach to describe previous and future stages of European urban development. The structural approach of the model is discussed because we believe that such concepts do not reflect the dynamics of present urban development in Europe. The paper argues that the urban agglomerations studied do not show a single evolutionary stage of urban development. Rather, we found a coexistence of intensifying suburbanisation and developing reurbanisation, which is mainly driven by younger households.

Keywords

    Core city, Population development, Urban fringe, Urbanisation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Sustainable Development Goals

Cite this

Diversifying European agglomerations: Evidence of urban population trends for the 21st century. / Kabisch, Nadja; Haase, Dagmar.
In: Population, space and place, Vol. 17, No. 3, 05.2011, p. 236-253.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Download
@article{69662d77206f41cdbe3fb7b005e0b183,
title = "Diversifying European agglomerations: Evidence of urban population trends for the 21st century",
abstract = "The beginning of the 21st century marks the first time in history that more than half of the world's population lives in urban areas. In Europe, more than 70% of the population lives in urban areas today. This number is likely to increase to 84% by 2050. However, a shift from growth to decline of urban population is already present for a growing number of cities. The paper examines urban population trends for 158 European agglomerations and assesses the dynamics behind one particular development of growth or decline. Using data from 1991 to 2004, we present statistical evidence of diversifying population trajectories for core cities and fringe areas. The quantitative results are contrasted with the widespread accepted cyclical urbanisation model that has been expounded as a theoretical approach to describe previous and future stages of European urban development. The structural approach of the model is discussed because we believe that such concepts do not reflect the dynamics of present urban development in Europe. The paper argues that the urban agglomerations studied do not show a single evolutionary stage of urban development. Rather, we found a coexistence of intensifying suburbanisation and developing reurbanisation, which is mainly driven by younger households.",
keywords = "Core city, Population development, Urban fringe, Urbanisation",
author = "Nadja Kabisch and Dagmar Haase",
year = "2011",
month = may,
doi = "10.1002/psp.600",
language = "English",
volume = "17",
pages = "236--253",
journal = "Population, space and place",
issn = "1544-8444",
publisher = "John Wiley and Sons Ltd",
number = "3",

}

Download

TY - JOUR

T1 - Diversifying European agglomerations

T2 - Evidence of urban population trends for the 21st century

AU - Kabisch, Nadja

AU - Haase, Dagmar

PY - 2011/5

Y1 - 2011/5

N2 - The beginning of the 21st century marks the first time in history that more than half of the world's population lives in urban areas. In Europe, more than 70% of the population lives in urban areas today. This number is likely to increase to 84% by 2050. However, a shift from growth to decline of urban population is already present for a growing number of cities. The paper examines urban population trends for 158 European agglomerations and assesses the dynamics behind one particular development of growth or decline. Using data from 1991 to 2004, we present statistical evidence of diversifying population trajectories for core cities and fringe areas. The quantitative results are contrasted with the widespread accepted cyclical urbanisation model that has been expounded as a theoretical approach to describe previous and future stages of European urban development. The structural approach of the model is discussed because we believe that such concepts do not reflect the dynamics of present urban development in Europe. The paper argues that the urban agglomerations studied do not show a single evolutionary stage of urban development. Rather, we found a coexistence of intensifying suburbanisation and developing reurbanisation, which is mainly driven by younger households.

AB - The beginning of the 21st century marks the first time in history that more than half of the world's population lives in urban areas. In Europe, more than 70% of the population lives in urban areas today. This number is likely to increase to 84% by 2050. However, a shift from growth to decline of urban population is already present for a growing number of cities. The paper examines urban population trends for 158 European agglomerations and assesses the dynamics behind one particular development of growth or decline. Using data from 1991 to 2004, we present statistical evidence of diversifying population trajectories for core cities and fringe areas. The quantitative results are contrasted with the widespread accepted cyclical urbanisation model that has been expounded as a theoretical approach to describe previous and future stages of European urban development. The structural approach of the model is discussed because we believe that such concepts do not reflect the dynamics of present urban development in Europe. The paper argues that the urban agglomerations studied do not show a single evolutionary stage of urban development. Rather, we found a coexistence of intensifying suburbanisation and developing reurbanisation, which is mainly driven by younger households.

KW - Core city

KW - Population development

KW - Urban fringe

KW - Urbanisation

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=79955420692&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1002/psp.600

DO - 10.1002/psp.600

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:79955420692

VL - 17

SP - 236

EP - 253

JO - Population, space and place

JF - Population, space and place

SN - 1544-8444

IS - 3

ER -

By the same author(s)