Directional spatial autoregressive dependence in the conditional first- and second-order moments

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Authors

  • M.S. Merk
  • P. Otto

External Research Organisations

  • University of Göttingen
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number100490
JournalSpatial statistics
Volume41
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2021
Externally publishedYes

Abstract

In contrast to classical econometric approaches which are based on prespecified isotropic weighting schemes, we suggest that the spatial weighting matrix in the presence of directional dependencies should be estimated. We identify this direction based on different candidate neighbourhood sets. In this paper, we consider two different types of processes – namely spatial autoregressive and spatial autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic processes – and derive the consistency of the corresponding maximum likelihood estimates in the presence of directional dependencies. Moreover, Monte Carlo simulation results indicate that the model's performance improves with sample size and with smaller neighbourhood subset sizes. Finally, we apply this approach to aerosol observations over the North Atlantic region and show that their spatial dependence matches the direction of the trade winds in this area.

Keywords

    Directional spatial dependencies, Regular lattice data, Spatial AR and ARCH processes, Spatial weights matrix

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Directional spatial autoregressive dependence in the conditional first- and second-order moments. / Merk, M.S.; Otto, P.
In: Spatial statistics, Vol. 41, 100490, 03.2021.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Download
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