Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articleResearchpeer review

Authors

  • Paramita Koley
  • Harshavardhan Alimi
  • Shrey Singla
  • Sourangshu Bhattacharya
  • Niloy Ganguly
  • Abir De

Research Organisations

External Research Organisations

  • Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur (IITKGP)
  • Indian Institute of Technology Bombay (IITB)
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)6940-6955
Number of pages16
JournalProceedings of Machine Learning Research
Volume206
Publication statusPublished - 2023
Event26th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, AISTATS 2023 - Valencia, Spain
Duration: 25 Apr 202327 Apr 2023

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the problem of global change-point detection in event sequence data, where both the event distributions and changepoints are assumed to be unknown. For this problem, we propose a Log-likelihood Ratio based Global Change-point Detector, which observes the entire sequence and detects a prespecified number of change-points. Based on the Transformer Hawkes Process (THP), a well-known neural TPP framework, we develop DCPD, a differentiable change-point detector, along with maintaining distinct intensity and mark predictor for each partition. Further, we propose a sliding-window-based extension of DCPD to improve its scalability in terms of the number of events or change-points with minor sacrifices in performance. Experiments on synthetic datasets explore the effects of run-time, relative complexity, and other aspects of distributions on various properties of our changepoint detectors, namely robustness, detection accuracy, scalability, etc., under controlled environments. Finally, we perform experiments on six real-world temporal event sequences collected from diverse domains like health, geographical regions, etc., and show that our methods either outperform or perform comparably with the baselines.

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes. / Koley, Paramita; Alimi, Harshavardhan; Singla, Shrey et al.
In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, Vol. 206, 2023, p. 6940-6955.

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articleResearchpeer review

Koley, P, Alimi, H, Singla, S, Bhattacharya, S, Ganguly, N & De, A 2023, 'Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes', Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, vol. 206, pp. 6940-6955. <https://proceedings.mlr.press/v206/koley23a.html>
Koley, P., Alimi, H., Singla, S., Bhattacharya, S., Ganguly, N., & De, A. (2023). Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes. Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, 206, 6940-6955. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v206/koley23a.html
Koley P, Alimi H, Singla S, Bhattacharya S, Ganguly N, De A. Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes. Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 2023;206:6940-6955.
Koley, Paramita ; Alimi, Harshavardhan ; Singla, Shrey et al. / Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes. In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 2023 ; Vol. 206. pp. 6940-6955.
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title = "Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes",
abstract = "In this paper, we consider the problem of global change-point detection in event sequence data, where both the event distributions and changepoints are assumed to be unknown. For this problem, we propose a Log-likelihood Ratio based Global Change-point Detector, which observes the entire sequence and detects a prespecified number of change-points. Based on the Transformer Hawkes Process (THP), a well-known neural TPP framework, we develop DCPD, a differentiable change-point detector, along with maintaining distinct intensity and mark predictor for each partition. Further, we propose a sliding-window-based extension of DCPD to improve its scalability in terms of the number of events or change-points with minor sacrifices in performance. Experiments on synthetic datasets explore the effects of run-time, relative complexity, and other aspects of distributions on various properties of our changepoint detectors, namely robustness, detection accuracy, scalability, etc., under controlled environments. Finally, we perform experiments on six real-world temporal event sequences collected from diverse domains like health, geographical regions, etc., and show that our methods either outperform or perform comparably with the baselines.",
author = "Paramita Koley and Harshavardhan Alimi and Shrey Singla and Sourangshu Bhattacharya and Niloy Ganguly and Abir De",
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AU - Koley, Paramita

AU - Alimi, Harshavardhan

AU - Singla, Shrey

AU - Bhattacharya, Sourangshu

AU - Ganguly, Niloy

AU - De, Abir

N1 - Funding Information: This research was (partially) funded by the Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF), Germany under the project LeibnizKILabor with grant No. 01DD20003 and an Intel Inc, India project. Abir De acknowledges a Google Faculty Grant and IBM AI Horizon grant.

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N2 - In this paper, we consider the problem of global change-point detection in event sequence data, where both the event distributions and changepoints are assumed to be unknown. For this problem, we propose a Log-likelihood Ratio based Global Change-point Detector, which observes the entire sequence and detects a prespecified number of change-points. Based on the Transformer Hawkes Process (THP), a well-known neural TPP framework, we develop DCPD, a differentiable change-point detector, along with maintaining distinct intensity and mark predictor for each partition. Further, we propose a sliding-window-based extension of DCPD to improve its scalability in terms of the number of events or change-points with minor sacrifices in performance. Experiments on synthetic datasets explore the effects of run-time, relative complexity, and other aspects of distributions on various properties of our changepoint detectors, namely robustness, detection accuracy, scalability, etc., under controlled environments. Finally, we perform experiments on six real-world temporal event sequences collected from diverse domains like health, geographical regions, etc., and show that our methods either outperform or perform comparably with the baselines.

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