Decoupled reliability-based optimization using Markov chain Monte Carlo in augmented space

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Authors

  • Xiukai Yuan
  • Shaolong Liu
  • Marcos A. Valdebenito
  • Matthias G.R. Faes
  • Danko J. Jerez
  • Hector A. Jensen
  • Michael Beer

Research Organisations

External Research Organisations

  • Xiamen University
  • Universidad Adolfo Ibanez
  • KU Leuven
  • Universidad Tecnica Federico Santa Maria
  • University of Liverpool
  • International Joint Research Center for Engineering Reliability and Stochastic Mechanics
  • Tongji University
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number103020
JournalAdvances in Engineering Software
Volume157-158
Early online date17 May 2021
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2021

Abstract

An efficient framework is proposed for reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) of structural systems. The RBDO problem is expressed in terms of the minimization of the failure probability with respect to design variables which correspond to distribution parameters of random variables, e.g. mean or standard deviation. Generally, this problem is quite demanding from a computational viewpoint, as repeated reliability analyses are involved. Hence, in this contribution, an efficient framework for solving a class of RBDO problems without even a single reliability analysis is proposed. It makes full use of an established functional relationship between the probability of failure and the distribution design parameters, which is termed as the failure probability function (FPF). By introducing an instrumental variability associated with the distribution design parameters, the target FPF is found to be proportional to a posterior distribution of the design parameters conditional on the occurrence of failure in an augmented space. This posterior distribution is derived and expressed as an integral, which can be estimated through simulation. An advanced Markov chain algorithm is adopted to efficiently generate samples that follow the aforementioned posterior distribution. Also, an algorithm that re-uses information is proposed in combination with sequential approximate optimization to improve the efficiency. Numeric examples illustrate the performance of the proposed framework.

Keywords

    Bayes’ theorem, Failure probability function, Markov chain simulation, Reliability-based design optimization

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Decoupled reliability-based optimization using Markov chain Monte Carlo in augmented space. / Yuan, Xiukai; Liu, Shaolong; Valdebenito, Marcos A. et al.
In: Advances in Engineering Software, Vol. 157-158, 103020, 07.2021.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Yuan X, Liu S, Valdebenito MA, Faes MGR, Jerez DJ, Jensen HA et al. Decoupled reliability-based optimization using Markov chain Monte Carlo in augmented space. Advances in Engineering Software. 2021 Jul;157-158:103020. Epub 2021 May 17. doi: 10.1016/j.advengsoft.2021.103020
Yuan, Xiukai ; Liu, Shaolong ; Valdebenito, Marcos A. et al. / Decoupled reliability-based optimization using Markov chain Monte Carlo in augmented space. In: Advances in Engineering Software. 2021 ; Vol. 157-158.
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title = "Decoupled reliability-based optimization using Markov chain Monte Carlo in augmented space",
abstract = "An efficient framework is proposed for reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) of structural systems. The RBDO problem is expressed in terms of the minimization of the failure probability with respect to design variables which correspond to distribution parameters of random variables, e.g. mean or standard deviation. Generally, this problem is quite demanding from a computational viewpoint, as repeated reliability analyses are involved. Hence, in this contribution, an efficient framework for solving a class of RBDO problems without even a single reliability analysis is proposed. It makes full use of an established functional relationship between the probability of failure and the distribution design parameters, which is termed as the failure probability function (FPF). By introducing an instrumental variability associated with the distribution design parameters, the target FPF is found to be proportional to a posterior distribution of the design parameters conditional on the occurrence of failure in an augmented space. This posterior distribution is derived and expressed as an integral, which can be estimated through simulation. An advanced Markov chain algorithm is adopted to efficiently generate samples that follow the aforementioned posterior distribution. Also, an algorithm that re-uses information is proposed in combination with sequential approximate optimization to improve the efficiency. Numeric examples illustrate the performance of the proposed framework.",
keywords = "Bayes{\textquoteright} theorem, Failure probability function, Markov chain simulation, Reliability-based design optimization",
author = "Xiukai Yuan and Shaolong Liu and Valdebenito, {Marcos A.} and Faes, {Matthias G.R.} and Jerez, {Danko J.} and Jensen, {Hector A.} and Michael Beer",
note = "Funding Information: Xiukai Yuan would like to acknowledge financial support from NSAF (Grant No. U1530122), the Aeronautical Science Foundation of China (Grant No. ASFC-20170968002) and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China (XMU, 20720180072) and the funding of China Scholarship Council (CSC No. 201906315051). M.A. Valdebenito recognizes the support of ANID (National Agency for Research and Development, Chile) under its program FONDECYT, Grant No. 1180271. Matthias Faes acknowledges the financial support of the Research Foundation Flanders under Grant No. 12P3519N, as well as from the Humboldt Foundation. D.J. Jerez recognizes the support of ANID and DAAD (German Academic Exchange Service) under CONICYT-PFCHA/Doctorado Acuerdo Bilateral DAAD Becas Chile/2018-6218007. H.A. Jensen acknowledges the support of ANID under its program FONDECYT, Grant No. 1200087. Funding Information: Xiukai Yuan would like to acknowledge financial support from NSAF (Grant No. U1530122 ), the Aeronautical Science Foundation of China (Grant No. ASFC-20170968002 ) and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China (XMU, 20720180072 ) and the funding of China Scholarship Council (CSC No. 201906315051 ). M.A. Valdebenito recognizes the support of ANID (National Agency for Research and Development, Chile) under its program FONDECYT , Grant No. 1180271 . Matthias Faes acknowledges the financial support of the Research Foundation Flanders under Grant No. 12P3519N , as well as from the Humboldt Foundation . D.J. Jerez recognizes the support of ANID and DAAD (German Academic Exchange Service) under CONICYT-PFCHA /Doctorado Acuerdo Bilateral DAAD Becas Chile/ 2018-6218007 . H.A. Jensen acknowledges the support of ANID under its program FONDECYT, Grant No. 1200087 . ",
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T1 - Decoupled reliability-based optimization using Markov chain Monte Carlo in augmented space

AU - Yuan, Xiukai

AU - Liu, Shaolong

AU - Valdebenito, Marcos A.

AU - Faes, Matthias G.R.

AU - Jerez, Danko J.

AU - Jensen, Hector A.

AU - Beer, Michael

N1 - Funding Information: Xiukai Yuan would like to acknowledge financial support from NSAF (Grant No. U1530122), the Aeronautical Science Foundation of China (Grant No. ASFC-20170968002) and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China (XMU, 20720180072) and the funding of China Scholarship Council (CSC No. 201906315051). M.A. Valdebenito recognizes the support of ANID (National Agency for Research and Development, Chile) under its program FONDECYT, Grant No. 1180271. Matthias Faes acknowledges the financial support of the Research Foundation Flanders under Grant No. 12P3519N, as well as from the Humboldt Foundation. D.J. Jerez recognizes the support of ANID and DAAD (German Academic Exchange Service) under CONICYT-PFCHA/Doctorado Acuerdo Bilateral DAAD Becas Chile/2018-6218007. H.A. Jensen acknowledges the support of ANID under its program FONDECYT, Grant No. 1200087. Funding Information: Xiukai Yuan would like to acknowledge financial support from NSAF (Grant No. U1530122 ), the Aeronautical Science Foundation of China (Grant No. ASFC-20170968002 ) and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China (XMU, 20720180072 ) and the funding of China Scholarship Council (CSC No. 201906315051 ). M.A. Valdebenito recognizes the support of ANID (National Agency for Research and Development, Chile) under its program FONDECYT , Grant No. 1180271 . Matthias Faes acknowledges the financial support of the Research Foundation Flanders under Grant No. 12P3519N , as well as from the Humboldt Foundation . D.J. Jerez recognizes the support of ANID and DAAD (German Academic Exchange Service) under CONICYT-PFCHA /Doctorado Acuerdo Bilateral DAAD Becas Chile/ 2018-6218007 . H.A. Jensen acknowledges the support of ANID under its program FONDECYT, Grant No. 1200087 .

PY - 2021/7

Y1 - 2021/7

N2 - An efficient framework is proposed for reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) of structural systems. The RBDO problem is expressed in terms of the minimization of the failure probability with respect to design variables which correspond to distribution parameters of random variables, e.g. mean or standard deviation. Generally, this problem is quite demanding from a computational viewpoint, as repeated reliability analyses are involved. Hence, in this contribution, an efficient framework for solving a class of RBDO problems without even a single reliability analysis is proposed. It makes full use of an established functional relationship between the probability of failure and the distribution design parameters, which is termed as the failure probability function (FPF). By introducing an instrumental variability associated with the distribution design parameters, the target FPF is found to be proportional to a posterior distribution of the design parameters conditional on the occurrence of failure in an augmented space. This posterior distribution is derived and expressed as an integral, which can be estimated through simulation. An advanced Markov chain algorithm is adopted to efficiently generate samples that follow the aforementioned posterior distribution. Also, an algorithm that re-uses information is proposed in combination with sequential approximate optimization to improve the efficiency. Numeric examples illustrate the performance of the proposed framework.

AB - An efficient framework is proposed for reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) of structural systems. The RBDO problem is expressed in terms of the minimization of the failure probability with respect to design variables which correspond to distribution parameters of random variables, e.g. mean or standard deviation. Generally, this problem is quite demanding from a computational viewpoint, as repeated reliability analyses are involved. Hence, in this contribution, an efficient framework for solving a class of RBDO problems without even a single reliability analysis is proposed. It makes full use of an established functional relationship between the probability of failure and the distribution design parameters, which is termed as the failure probability function (FPF). By introducing an instrumental variability associated with the distribution design parameters, the target FPF is found to be proportional to a posterior distribution of the design parameters conditional on the occurrence of failure in an augmented space. This posterior distribution is derived and expressed as an integral, which can be estimated through simulation. An advanced Markov chain algorithm is adopted to efficiently generate samples that follow the aforementioned posterior distribution. Also, an algorithm that re-uses information is proposed in combination with sequential approximate optimization to improve the efficiency. Numeric examples illustrate the performance of the proposed framework.

KW - Bayes’ theorem

KW - Failure probability function

KW - Markov chain simulation

KW - Reliability-based design optimization

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U2 - 10.1016/j.advengsoft.2021.103020

DO - 10.1016/j.advengsoft.2021.103020

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85106247785

VL - 157-158

JO - Advances in Engineering Software

JF - Advances in Engineering Software

SN - 0965-9978

M1 - 103020

ER -

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