Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification: Application to the AIRMOD test structure

Research output: Chapter in book/report/conference proceedingConference contributionResearchpeer review

Authors

  • Matteo Broggi
  • Matthias Faes
  • Edoardo Patelli
  • Yves Govers
  • David Moens
  • Michael Beer

Research Organisations

External Research Organisations

  • KU Leuven
  • University of Liverpool
  • German Aerospace Center (DLR)
View graph of relations

Details

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages1-8
Number of pages8
ISBN (electronic)9781538627259
Publication statusPublished - 2 Feb 2018
Event2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Honolulu, United States
Duration: 27 Nov 20171 Dec 2017

Publication series

Name2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings
Volume2018-January

Abstract

This paper concerns the comparison of two inverse methods for the quantification of uncertain model parameters, based on experimentally obtained measurement data of the model's responses. Specifically, Bayesian inference is compared to a novel method for the quantification of multivariate interval uncertainty. The comparison is made by applying both methods to the AIRMOD measurement data set, and comparing their results critically in terms of obtained information and computational expense. Since computational cost of the application of both methods to high-dimensional problems and realistic numerical models can become intractable, an Artificial Neural Network surrogate is used for both methods. The application of this ANN proves to limit the computational cost to a large extent, even taking the generation of the training dataset into account. Concerning the comparison of both methods, it is found that the results of the Bayesian identification provide less over-conservative bounds on the uncertainty in the responses of the AIRMOD model.

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification: Application to the AIRMOD test structure. / Broggi, Matteo; Faes, Matthias; Patelli, Edoardo et al.
2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2018. p. 1-8 (2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings; Vol. 2018-January).

Research output: Chapter in book/report/conference proceedingConference contributionResearchpeer review

Broggi, M, Faes, M, Patelli, E, Govers, Y, Moens, D & Beer, M 2018, Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification: Application to the AIRMOD test structure. in 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings. 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings, vol. 2018-January, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., pp. 1-8, 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017, Honolulu, United States, 27 Nov 2017. https://doi.org/10.1109/SSCI.2017.8280882
Broggi, M., Faes, M., Patelli, E., Govers, Y., Moens, D., & Beer, M. (2018). Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification: Application to the AIRMOD test structure. In 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings (pp. 1-8). (2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings; Vol. 2018-January). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/SSCI.2017.8280882
Broggi M, Faes M, Patelli E, Govers Y, Moens D, Beer M. Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification: Application to the AIRMOD test structure. In 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2018. p. 1-8. (2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings). doi: 10.1109/SSCI.2017.8280882
Broggi, Matteo ; Faes, Matthias ; Patelli, Edoardo et al. / Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification : Application to the AIRMOD test structure. 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2018. pp. 1-8 (2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings).
Download
@inproceedings{9019493eba074f8ca08852edf00643d3,
title = "Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification: Application to the AIRMOD test structure",
abstract = "This paper concerns the comparison of two inverse methods for the quantification of uncertain model parameters, based on experimentally obtained measurement data of the model's responses. Specifically, Bayesian inference is compared to a novel method for the quantification of multivariate interval uncertainty. The comparison is made by applying both methods to the AIRMOD measurement data set, and comparing their results critically in terms of obtained information and computational expense. Since computational cost of the application of both methods to high-dimensional problems and realistic numerical models can become intractable, an Artificial Neural Network surrogate is used for both methods. The application of this ANN proves to limit the computational cost to a large extent, even taking the generation of the training dataset into account. Concerning the comparison of both methods, it is found that the results of the Bayesian identification provide less over-conservative bounds on the uncertainty in the responses of the AIRMOD model.",
author = "Matteo Broggi and Matthias Faes and Edoardo Patelli and Yves Govers and David Moens and Michael Beer",
note = "Funding information: Matthias Faes would like to acknowledge the financial support of the Flemish Research Foundation (FWO) in the frame of travel grants K218117N and K217917N for staying at the Leibniz University in Hannover. Matteo Broggi and Matthias Faes contributed equally to this paper.; 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 ; Conference date: 27-11-2017 Through 01-12-2017",
year = "2018",
month = feb,
day = "2",
doi = "10.1109/SSCI.2017.8280882",
language = "English",
series = "2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings",
publisher = "Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.",
pages = "1--8",
booktitle = "2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings",
address = "United States",

}

Download

TY - GEN

T1 - Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification

T2 - 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017

AU - Broggi, Matteo

AU - Faes, Matthias

AU - Patelli, Edoardo

AU - Govers, Yves

AU - Moens, David

AU - Beer, Michael

N1 - Funding information: Matthias Faes would like to acknowledge the financial support of the Flemish Research Foundation (FWO) in the frame of travel grants K218117N and K217917N for staying at the Leibniz University in Hannover. Matteo Broggi and Matthias Faes contributed equally to this paper.

PY - 2018/2/2

Y1 - 2018/2/2

N2 - This paper concerns the comparison of two inverse methods for the quantification of uncertain model parameters, based on experimentally obtained measurement data of the model's responses. Specifically, Bayesian inference is compared to a novel method for the quantification of multivariate interval uncertainty. The comparison is made by applying both methods to the AIRMOD measurement data set, and comparing their results critically in terms of obtained information and computational expense. Since computational cost of the application of both methods to high-dimensional problems and realistic numerical models can become intractable, an Artificial Neural Network surrogate is used for both methods. The application of this ANN proves to limit the computational cost to a large extent, even taking the generation of the training dataset into account. Concerning the comparison of both methods, it is found that the results of the Bayesian identification provide less over-conservative bounds on the uncertainty in the responses of the AIRMOD model.

AB - This paper concerns the comparison of two inverse methods for the quantification of uncertain model parameters, based on experimentally obtained measurement data of the model's responses. Specifically, Bayesian inference is compared to a novel method for the quantification of multivariate interval uncertainty. The comparison is made by applying both methods to the AIRMOD measurement data set, and comparing their results critically in terms of obtained information and computational expense. Since computational cost of the application of both methods to high-dimensional problems and realistic numerical models can become intractable, an Artificial Neural Network surrogate is used for both methods. The application of this ANN proves to limit the computational cost to a large extent, even taking the generation of the training dataset into account. Concerning the comparison of both methods, it is found that the results of the Bayesian identification provide less over-conservative bounds on the uncertainty in the responses of the AIRMOD model.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85046041174&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1109/SSCI.2017.8280882

DO - 10.1109/SSCI.2017.8280882

M3 - Conference contribution

T3 - 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings

SP - 1

EP - 8

BT - 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings

PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.

Y2 - 27 November 2017 through 1 December 2017

ER -

By the same author(s)