Climate Models and the Irrelevance of Chaos

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  • Corey Nathaniel Dethier

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Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)997-1007
Number of pages11
JournalPhilosophy of Science
Volume88
Issue number5
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2021

Abstract

Philosophy of science has witnessed substantial recent debate over the existence of a structural analogue of chaos, which is alleged to spell trouble for certain uses of climate models. The debate over the analogy can and should be separated from its alleged epistemic implications: chaos-like behavior is neither necessary nor sufficient for small dynamical misrepresentations to generate erroneous results. The kind of sensitivity that matters in epistemology is one that induces unsafe beliefs, and the existence of a structural analogue to chaos is better seen as an explanation for known safety failures than as providing evidence for unknown ones.

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Sustainable Development Goals

Cite this

Climate Models and the Irrelevance of Chaos. / Dethier, Corey Nathaniel.
In: Philosophy of Science, Vol. 88, No. 5, 12.2021, p. 997-1007.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Dethier CN. Climate Models and the Irrelevance of Chaos. Philosophy of Science. 2021 Dec;88(5):997-1007. doi: 10.1086/714705
Dethier, Corey Nathaniel. / Climate Models and the Irrelevance of Chaos. In: Philosophy of Science. 2021 ; Vol. 88, No. 5. pp. 997-1007.
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