Climate anomalies and international migration: A disaggregated analysis for West Africa

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Authors

  • Fernanda Martínez Flores
  • Sveta Milusheva
  • Arndt R. Reichert
  • Ann Kristin Reitmann

Research Organisations

External Research Organisations

  • RWI – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research
  • World Bank
  • University of Passau
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number102997
Number of pages27
JournalJournal of Environmental Economics and Management
Volume126
Early online date6 May 2024
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2024

Abstract

Migration is one measure that individuals can take to adjust to the adverse impacts of increasingly extreme weather that can arise from climate change. Using novel geo-referenced high-frequency data, we investigate the impact of soil moisture anomalies on migration within West Africa and towards Europe. We estimate that a standard deviation decrease in soil moisture leads to a 2-percentage point drop in the probability of international migration, equivalent to a 25 percent decrease in the number of international migrants. This effect is concentrated during the months that immediately follow the crop-growing season among areas in the middle of the income distribution. The findings suggest that weather anomalies negatively affect agricultural production, leading to liquidity constraints that prevent people from moving internationally.

Keywords

    Agriculture, Climate, Migration, Weather, West Africa

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Sustainable Development Goals

Cite this

Climate anomalies and international migration: A disaggregated analysis for West Africa. / Martínez Flores, Fernanda; Milusheva, Sveta; Reichert, Arndt R. et al.
In: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Vol. 126, 102997, 07.2024.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Martínez Flores F, Milusheva S, Reichert AR, Reitmann AK. Climate anomalies and international migration: A disaggregated analysis for West Africa. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. 2024 Jul;126:102997. Epub 2024 May 6. doi: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102997
Martínez Flores, Fernanda ; Milusheva, Sveta ; Reichert, Arndt R. et al. / Climate anomalies and international migration : A disaggregated analysis for West Africa. In: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. 2024 ; Vol. 126.
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