Bounds optimization of model response moments: a twin-engine Bayesian active learning method

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  • Northwestern Polytechnical University
  • National University of Singapore
  • University of Liverpool
  • Tongji University
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Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1273-1292
Number of pages20
JournalComputational Mechanics
Volume67
Issue number5
Early online date15 Apr 2021
Publication statusPublished - May 2021

Abstract

The efficient propagation of imprecise probabilities through expensive simulators has emerged to be one of the great challenges for mixed uncertainty quantification in computational mechanics. An active learning method, named Collaborative and Adaptive Bayesian Optimization (CABO), is developed for tackling this challenge by combining Bayesian Probabilistic Optimization and Bayesian Probabilistic Integration. Two learning functions are introduced as engines for CABO, where one is introduced for realizing the adaptive optimization search in the epistemic uncertainty space, and the other one is developed for adaptive integration in the aleatory uncertainty space. These two engines work in a collaborative way to create optimal design points adaptively in the joint uncertainty space, by which a Gaussian process regression model is trained and updated to approach the bounds of model response moments with pre-specified error tolerances. The effectiveness of CABO is demonstrated using a numerical example and two engineering benchmarks.

Keywords

    Active learning, Adaptive optimization, Bayesian inference, Gaussian process regression, Imprecise probabilities, Uncertainty quantification

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Bounds optimization of model response moments: a twin-engine Bayesian active learning method. / Wei, Pengfei; Hong, Fangqi; Phoon, Kok-Kwang et al.
In: Computational Mechanics, Vol. 67, No. 5, 05.2021, p. 1273-1292.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Wei P, Hong F, Phoon KK, Beer M. Bounds optimization of model response moments: a twin-engine Bayesian active learning method. Computational Mechanics. 2021 May;67(5):1273-1292. Epub 2021 Apr 15. doi: 10.1007/s00466-021-01977-8
Wei, Pengfei ; Hong, Fangqi ; Phoon, Kok-Kwang et al. / Bounds optimization of model response moments : a twin-engine Bayesian active learning method. In: Computational Mechanics. 2021 ; Vol. 67, No. 5. pp. 1273-1292.
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abstract = "The efficient propagation of imprecise probabilities through expensive simulators has emerged to be one of the great challenges for mixed uncertainty quantification in computational mechanics. An active learning method, named Collaborative and Adaptive Bayesian Optimization (CABO), is developed for tackling this challenge by combining Bayesian Probabilistic Optimization and Bayesian Probabilistic Integration. Two learning functions are introduced as engines for CABO, where one is introduced for realizing the adaptive optimization search in the epistemic uncertainty space, and the other one is developed for adaptive integration in the aleatory uncertainty space. These two engines work in a collaborative way to create optimal design points adaptively in the joint uncertainty space, by which a Gaussian process regression model is trained and updated to approach the bounds of model response moments with pre-specified error tolerances. The effectiveness of CABO is demonstrated using a numerical example and two engineering benchmarks.",
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