Asset prices and “the devil(s) you know”

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  • University of Reading
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Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)20-35
Number of pages16
JournalJournal of Banking and Finance
Volume105
Early online date3 May 2019
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2019

Abstract

In this paper, we study the asset pricing implications of persistence in the risk-neutral return distribution's central moments. We detect a both economically and statistically significant premium of stocks with low over stocks with high such persistence. Annual value-weighted excess (risk-adjusted) returns are 4.38% (3.06%). These results cannot be explained by factors and characteristics documented in the previous literature. Furthermore, it is not the persistence of only one of the individual distributional moments but rather the joint persistence in all central moments of the risk-neutral distribution that is priced.

Keywords

    Option-implied central moments, Persistence, Stock return distribution

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Asset prices and “the devil(s) you know”. / Hollstein, Fabian; Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno; Prokopczuk, Marcel.
In: Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 105, 08.2019, p. 20-35.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Hollstein F, Nguyen DBB, Prokopczuk M. Asset prices and “the devil(s) you know”. Journal of Banking and Finance. 2019 Aug;105:20-35. Epub 2019 May 3. doi: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2019.04.003
Hollstein, Fabian ; Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno ; Prokopczuk, Marcel. / Asset prices and “the devil(s) you know”. In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 2019 ; Vol. 105. pp. 20-35.
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