Ambiguity sensitive preferences in Ellsberg frameworks

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Authors

  • Claudia Ravanelli
  • G. Svindland

External Research Organisations

  • Universität Zürich (UZH)
  • Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (LMU)
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)53-89
Number of pages37
JournalEconomic theory
Volume67
Issue number1
Early online date5 Jan 2018
Publication statusPublished - 8 Feb 2019
Externally publishedYes

Abstract

We study the market implications of ambiguity sensitive preferences using the α-maxmin expected utility (α-MEU) model. In the standard Ellsberg framework, we prove that α-MEU preferences are equivalent to either maxmin, maxmax or subjective expected utility (SEU). We show how ambiguity aversion impacts equilibrium asset prices, and revisit the laboratory experimental findings in Bossaerts et al. (Rev Financ Stud 23:1325–1359, 2010). Only when there are three or more ambiguous states, α-MEU, maxmin, maxmax and SEU models induce different portfolio choices. We suggest criteria to discriminate among these models in laboratory experiments and show that ambiguity seeking agents may prevent the existence of market equilibrium. Our results indicate that ambiguity matters for portfolio choice and does not wash out in equilibrium.

Keywords

    Ambiguity aversion, Ellsberg framework, Market equilibrium, Portfolio choice, α-maxmin expected utility model

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Ambiguity sensitive preferences in Ellsberg frameworks. / Ravanelli, Claudia; Svindland, G.
In: Economic theory, Vol. 67, No. 1, 08.02.2019, p. 53-89.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Ravanelli C, Svindland G. Ambiguity sensitive preferences in Ellsberg frameworks. Economic theory. 2019 Feb 8;67(1):53-89. Epub 2018 Jan 5. doi: 10.1007/s00199-017-1095-3
Ravanelli, Claudia ; Svindland, G. / Ambiguity sensitive preferences in Ellsberg frameworks. In: Economic theory. 2019 ; Vol. 67, No. 1. pp. 53-89.
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