Actors and factors in land-use simulation: The challenge of urban shrinkage

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Authors

External Research Organisations

  • Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin (HU Berlin)
  • Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ)
  • Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)92-103
Number of pages12
JournalEnvironmental Modelling and Software
Volume35
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2012
Externally publishedYes

Abstract

Both modelers and social scientists attempt to find better explanations of complex urban systems. They include development paths, underlying driving forces and their expected impacts. So far, land-use research has predominantly focused on urban growth. However, new challenges have arisen since urban shrinkage entered the research agenda of the social and land-use sciences. Therefore, the focus of this paper is a twofold one: Using the example of urban shrinkage, we first discuss the capacity of existing land-use modeling approaches to integrate new social science knowledge in terms of land-use, demography and governance because social science models are indispensable for accurately explaining the processes behind shrinkage. Second, we discuss the combination of system dynamics (SD), cellular automata (CA) and agent-based model (ABM) approaches to cover the main characteristics, processes and patterns of urban shrinkage. Using Leipzig, Germany, as a case study, we provide the initial results of a joint SD-CA model and an ABM that both operationalize social science knowledge regarding urban shrinkage.

Keywords

    ABM, CA, Land-use modeling, SD, Social simulation, Urban shrinkage

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Sustainable Development Goals

Cite this

Actors and factors in land-use simulation: The challenge of urban shrinkage. / Haase, Dagmar; Haase, Annegret; Kabisch, Nadja et al.
In: Environmental Modelling and Software, Vol. 35, 07.2012, p. 92-103.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Haase D, Haase A, Kabisch N, Kabisch S, Rink D. Actors and factors in land-use simulation: The challenge of urban shrinkage. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2012 Jul;35:92-103. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.02.012
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