A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Authors

  • Jessica P.R. Thorn
  • Julia A. Klein
  • Cara Steger
  • Kelly A. Hopping
  • Claudia Capitani
  • Catherine M. Tucker
  • Anne W. Nolin
  • Robin S. Reid
  • Roman Seidl
  • Vishwas S. Chitale
  • Robert Marchant

External Research Organisations

  • Colorado State University
  • Univ. York, Dep. Comput. Sci., Non-Stand. Comput. Group
  • University of Cape Town
  • Boise State University
  • University of Florida
  • University of Nevada, Reno
  • International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development Nepal
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number6
Pages (from-to)1-55
Number of pages55
JournalEcology and society
Volume25
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - 2020

Abstract

Mountain social-ecological systems (MtSES) provide crucial ecosystem services to over half of humanity. However, populations living in these highly varied regions are now confronted by global change. It is critical that they are able to anticipate change to strategically manage resources and avoid potential conflict. Yet, planning for sustainable, equitable transitions for the future is a daunting task, considering the range of uncertainties and the unique character of MtSES. Participatory scenario planning (PSP) can help MtSES communities by critically reflecting on a wider array of innovative pathways for adaptive transformation. Although the design of effective approaches has been widely discussed, how PSP has been employed in MtSES has yet to be examined. Here, we present the first systematic global review of single- and multiscalar, multisectoral PSP undertaken in MtSES, in which we characterize the process, identify strengths and gaps, and suggest effective ways to apply PSP in MtSES. We used a nine-step process to help guide the analysis of 42 studies from 1989 screened articles. Our results indicate a steady increase in relevant studies since 2006, with 43% published between 2015 and 2017. These studies encompass 39 countries, with over 50% in Europe. PSP in MtSES is used predominantly to build cooperation, social learning, collaboration, and decision support, yet meeting these objectives is hindered by insufficient engagement with intended end users. MtSES PSP has focused largely on envisioning themes of governance, economy, land use change, and biodiversity, but has overlooked themes such as gender equality, public health, and sanitation. There are many avenues to expand and improve PSP in MtSES: to other regions, sectors, across a greater diversity of stakeholders, and with a specific focus on MtSES paradoxes. Communicating uncertainty, monitoring and evaluating impacts, and engendering more comparative approaches can further increase the utility of PSP for addressing MtSES challenges, with lessons for other complex social-ecological systems.

Keywords

    Adaptive transformation, Alpine, Coupled natural-human systems, Highlands, Montane, Planetary boundaries, Stewardship, Sustainability science, Transdisciplinary

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Sustainable Development Goals

Cite this

A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures. / Thorn, Jessica P.R.; Klein, Julia A.; Steger, Cara et al.
In: Ecology and society, Vol. 25, No. 3, 6, 2020, p. 1-55.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Thorn, JPR, Klein, JA, Steger, C, Hopping, KA, Capitani, C, Tucker, CM, Nolin, AW, Reid, RS, Seidl, R, Chitale, VS & Marchant, R 2020, 'A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures', Ecology and society, vol. 25, no. 3, 6, pp. 1-55. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-11608-250306
Thorn, J. P. R., Klein, J. A., Steger, C., Hopping, K. A., Capitani, C., Tucker, C. M., Nolin, A. W., Reid, R. S., Seidl, R., Chitale, V. S., & Marchant, R. (2020). A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures. Ecology and society, 25(3), 1-55. Article 6. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-11608-250306
Thorn JPR, Klein JA, Steger C, Hopping KA, Capitani C, Tucker CM et al. A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures. Ecology and society. 2020;25(3):1-55. 6. doi: 10.5751/ES-11608-250306
Thorn, Jessica P.R. ; Klein, Julia A. ; Steger, Cara et al. / A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures. In: Ecology and society. 2020 ; Vol. 25, No. 3. pp. 1-55.
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title = "A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures",
abstract = "Mountain social-ecological systems (MtSES) provide crucial ecosystem services to over half of humanity. However, populations living in these highly varied regions are now confronted by global change. It is critical that they are able to anticipate change to strategically manage resources and avoid potential conflict. Yet, planning for sustainable, equitable transitions for the future is a daunting task, considering the range of uncertainties and the unique character of MtSES. Participatory scenario planning (PSP) can help MtSES communities by critically reflecting on a wider array of innovative pathways for adaptive transformation. Although the design of effective approaches has been widely discussed, how PSP has been employed in MtSES has yet to be examined. Here, we present the first systematic global review of single- and multiscalar, multisectoral PSP undertaken in MtSES, in which we characterize the process, identify strengths and gaps, and suggest effective ways to apply PSP in MtSES. We used a nine-step process to help guide the analysis of 42 studies from 1989 screened articles. Our results indicate a steady increase in relevant studies since 2006, with 43% published between 2015 and 2017. These studies encompass 39 countries, with over 50% in Europe. PSP in MtSES is used predominantly to build cooperation, social learning, collaboration, and decision support, yet meeting these objectives is hindered by insufficient engagement with intended end users. MtSES PSP has focused largely on envisioning themes of governance, economy, land use change, and biodiversity, but has overlooked themes such as gender equality, public health, and sanitation. There are many avenues to expand and improve PSP in MtSES: to other regions, sectors, across a greater diversity of stakeholders, and with a specific focus on MtSES paradoxes. Communicating uncertainty, monitoring and evaluating impacts, and engendering more comparative approaches can further increase the utility of PSP for addressing MtSES challenges, with lessons for other complex social-ecological systems.",
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TY - JOUR

T1 - A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures

AU - Thorn, Jessica P.R.

AU - Klein, Julia A.

AU - Steger, Cara

AU - Hopping, Kelly A.

AU - Capitani, Claudia

AU - Tucker, Catherine M.

AU - Nolin, Anne W.

AU - Reid, Robin S.

AU - Seidl, Roman

AU - Chitale, Vishwas S.

AU - Marchant, Robert

N1 - Funding Information: The National Science Foundation’s Research Coordination Networks (RCN), as part of the project Mountain Sentinels Collaborative Network, Grant Agreement Number NSF #DEB 1414106, supported this work. Thanks are due to research assistants Emily Sinkular, Alissa Allen, and Danielle Palm. We are grateful for the valuable discussions within the Mountain Sentinels Collaborative Network (https://mountainsentinels.org/) workshop

PY - 2020

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KW - Alpine

KW - Coupled natural-human systems

KW - Highlands

KW - Montane

KW - Planetary boundaries

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