A moment-based analytic approximation of the risk-neutral density of American options

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Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)409-444
Number of pages36
JournalApplied Mathematical Finance
Volume23
Issue number6
Publication statusPublished - 1 Nov 2016

Abstract

The price of a European option can be computed as the expected value of the payoff function under the risk-neutral measure. For American options and path-dependent options in general, this principle cannot be applied. In this paper, we derive a model-free analytical formula for the implied risk-neutral density based on the implied moments of the implicit European contract under which the expected value will be the price of the equivalent payoff with the American exercise condition. The risk-neutral density is semi-parametric as it is the result of applying the multivariate generalized Edgeworth expansion, where the moments of the American density are obtained by a reverse engineering application of the least-squares method. The theory of multivariate truncated moments is employed for approximating the option price, with important consequences for the hedging of variance, skewness and kurtosis swaps.

Keywords

    American multi-asset options, higher order moments, Multi-asset risk-neutral density

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A moment-based analytic approximation of the risk-neutral density of American options. / Arismendi, J. C.; Prokopczuk, Marcel.
In: Applied Mathematical Finance, Vol. 23, No. 6, 01.11.2016, p. 409-444.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Arismendi JC, Prokopczuk M. A moment-based analytic approximation of the risk-neutral density of American options. Applied Mathematical Finance. 2016 Nov 1;23(6):409-444. doi: 10.1080/1350486X.2017.1297726
Arismendi, J. C. ; Prokopczuk, Marcel. / A moment-based analytic approximation of the risk-neutral density of American options. In: Applied Mathematical Finance. 2016 ; Vol. 23, No. 6. pp. 409-444.
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