A Distributionally Robust Approach for Mixed Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainties Propagation

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Authors

  • Masaru Kitahara
  • Jingwen Song
  • Pengfei Wei
  • Matteo Broggi
  • Michael Beer

Research Organisations

External Research Organisations

  • Northwestern Polytechnical University
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)4471-4477
Number of pages7
JournalAIAA journal
Volume60
Issue number7
Early online date8 Apr 2022
Publication statusPublished - 10 Apr 2022

Abstract

A study focuses on the generalized global non-intrusive imprecise stochastic simulation (NISS) method, as it can propagate both the imprecise probability models and nonprobabilistic models at the same time. The staircase distributions are theoretically ready to be used in this method by constructing parametric p-boxes defining their hyper parameters as interval values. The feasibility of the proposed method is demonstrated by solving the reliability analysis subproblem of the NASA uncertainty quantification (UQ) challenge problem 2019. The Gaussian distribution-based p-box naturally contains Gaussian distributions, whereas the staircase distribution-based p-box contains a broad range of distributions, including skewed and bimodal distributions. A hybrid NISS method is developed, where the staircase distribution-based p-boxes are propagated by the local NISS method to significantly suppress the computational cost to estimate the component functions over the hyperparameters.

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

A Distributionally Robust Approach for Mixed Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainties Propagation. / Kitahara, Masaru; Song, Jingwen; Wei, Pengfei et al.
In: AIAA journal, Vol. 60, No. 7, 10.04.2022, p. 4471-4477.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Kitahara M, Song J, Wei P, Broggi M, Beer M. A Distributionally Robust Approach for Mixed Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainties Propagation. AIAA journal. 2022 Apr 10;60(7):4471-4477. Epub 2022 Apr 8. doi: 10.2514/1.J061394
Kitahara, Masaru ; Song, Jingwen ; Wei, Pengfei et al. / A Distributionally Robust Approach for Mixed Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainties Propagation. In: AIAA journal. 2022 ; Vol. 60, No. 7. pp. 4471-4477.
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