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Which Distributions (or Families of Distributions) Best Represent Interval Uncertainty: Case of Permutation-Invariant Criteria

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Bericht/Sammelwerk/KonferenzbandAufsatz in KonferenzbandForschungPeer-Review

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  • University of Texas at El Paso

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OriginalspracheEnglisch
Titel des SammelwerksInformation Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems
Untertitel18th International Conference, IPMU 2020, Proceedings
Herausgeber/-innenMarie-Jeanne Lesot, Susana Vieira, Marek Z. Reformat, João Paulo Carvalho, Anna Wilbik, Bernadette Bouchon-Meunier, Ronald R. Yager
ErscheinungsortCham
Seiten70-79
Seitenumfang10
Band1
ISBN (elektronisch)9783030501464
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 2020
Veranstaltung18th International Conference on Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems - Lisbon, Portugal, Lissabon, Portugal
Dauer: 15 Juni 202019 Juni 2020
Konferenznummer: 18
https://ipmu2020.inesc-id.pt/

Publikationsreihe

NameCommunications in Computer and Information Science
Band1237
ISSN (Print)1865-0929
ISSN (elektronisch)1865-0937

Abstract

In many practical situations, we only know the interval containing the quantity of interest, we have no information about the probabilities of different values within this interval. In contrast to the cases when we know the distributions and can thus use Monte-Carlo simulations, processing such interval uncertainty is difficult – crudely speaking, because we need to try all possible distributions on this interval. Sometimes, the problem can be simplified: namely, for estimating the range of values of some characteristics of the distribution, it is possible to select a single distribution (or a small family of distributions) whose analysis provides a good understanding of the situation. The most known case is when we are estimating the largest possible value of Shannon’s entropy: in this case, it is sufficient to consider the uniform distribution on the interval. Interesting, estimating other characteristics leads to the selection of the same uniform distribution: e.g., estimating the largest possible values of generalized entropy or of some sensitivity-related characteristics. In this paper, we provide a general explanation of why uniform distribution appears in different situations – namely, it appears every time we have a permutation-invariant optimization problem with the unique optimum. We also discuss what happens if we have an optimization problem that attains its optimum at several different distributions – this happens, e.g., when we are estimating the smallest possible value of Shannon’s entropy (or of its generalizations).

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Which Distributions (or Families of Distributions) Best Represent Interval Uncertainty: Case of Permutation-Invariant Criteria. / Beer, Michael; Urenda, Julio; Kosheleva, Olga et al.
Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems: 18th International Conference, IPMU 2020, Proceedings. Hrsg. / Marie-Jeanne Lesot; Susana Vieira; Marek Z. Reformat; João Paulo Carvalho; Anna Wilbik; Bernadette Bouchon-Meunier; Ronald R. Yager. Band 1 Cham, 2020. S. 70-79 (Communications in Computer and Information Science; Band 1237).

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Bericht/Sammelwerk/KonferenzbandAufsatz in KonferenzbandForschungPeer-Review

Beer, M, Urenda, J, Kosheleva, O & Kreinovich, V 2020, Which Distributions (or Families of Distributions) Best Represent Interval Uncertainty: Case of Permutation-Invariant Criteria. in M-J Lesot, S Vieira, MZ Reformat, JP Carvalho, A Wilbik, B Bouchon-Meunier & RR Yager (Hrsg.), Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems: 18th International Conference, IPMU 2020, Proceedings. Bd. 1, Communications in Computer and Information Science, Bd. 1237, Cham, S. 70-79, 18th International Conference on Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems, Lissabon, Portugal, 15 Juni 2020. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-50146-4_6
Beer, M., Urenda, J., Kosheleva, O., & Kreinovich, V. (2020). Which Distributions (or Families of Distributions) Best Represent Interval Uncertainty: Case of Permutation-Invariant Criteria. In M.-J. Lesot, S. Vieira, M. Z. Reformat, J. P. Carvalho, A. Wilbik, B. Bouchon-Meunier, & R. R. Yager (Hrsg.), Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems: 18th International Conference, IPMU 2020, Proceedings (Band 1, S. 70-79). (Communications in Computer and Information Science; Band 1237).. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-50146-4_6
Beer M, Urenda J, Kosheleva O, Kreinovich V. Which Distributions (or Families of Distributions) Best Represent Interval Uncertainty: Case of Permutation-Invariant Criteria. in Lesot MJ, Vieira S, Reformat MZ, Carvalho JP, Wilbik A, Bouchon-Meunier B, Yager RR, Hrsg., Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems: 18th International Conference, IPMU 2020, Proceedings. Band 1. Cham. 2020. S. 70-79. (Communications in Computer and Information Science). Epub 2020 Jun 5. doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-50146-4_6
Beer, Michael ; Urenda, Julio ; Kosheleva, Olga et al. / Which Distributions (or Families of Distributions) Best Represent Interval Uncertainty : Case of Permutation-Invariant Criteria. Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems: 18th International Conference, IPMU 2020, Proceedings. Hrsg. / Marie-Jeanne Lesot ; Susana Vieira ; Marek Z. Reformat ; João Paulo Carvalho ; Anna Wilbik ; Bernadette Bouchon-Meunier ; Ronald R. Yager. Band 1 Cham, 2020. S. 70-79 (Communications in Computer and Information Science).
Download
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abstract = "In many practical situations, we only know the interval containing the quantity of interest, we have no information about the probabilities of different values within this interval. In contrast to the cases when we know the distributions and can thus use Monte-Carlo simulations, processing such interval uncertainty is difficult – crudely speaking, because we need to try all possible distributions on this interval. Sometimes, the problem can be simplified: namely, for estimating the range of values of some characteristics of the distribution, it is possible to select a single distribution (or a small family of distributions) whose analysis provides a good understanding of the situation. The most known case is when we are estimating the largest possible value of Shannon{\textquoteright}s entropy: in this case, it is sufficient to consider the uniform distribution on the interval. Interesting, estimating other characteristics leads to the selection of the same uniform distribution: e.g., estimating the largest possible values of generalized entropy or of some sensitivity-related characteristics. In this paper, we provide a general explanation of why uniform distribution appears in different situations – namely, it appears every time we have a permutation-invariant optimization problem with the unique optimum. We also discuss what happens if we have an optimization problem that attains its optimum at several different distributions – this happens, e.g., when we are estimating the smallest possible value of Shannon{\textquoteright}s entropy (or of its generalizations).",
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Download

TY - GEN

T1 - Which Distributions (or Families of Distributions) Best Represent Interval Uncertainty

T2 - 18th International Conference on Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems

AU - Beer, Michael

AU - Urenda, Julio

AU - Kosheleva, Olga

AU - Kreinovich, Vladik

N1 - Conference code: 18

PY - 2020

Y1 - 2020

N2 - In many practical situations, we only know the interval containing the quantity of interest, we have no information about the probabilities of different values within this interval. In contrast to the cases when we know the distributions and can thus use Monte-Carlo simulations, processing such interval uncertainty is difficult – crudely speaking, because we need to try all possible distributions on this interval. Sometimes, the problem can be simplified: namely, for estimating the range of values of some characteristics of the distribution, it is possible to select a single distribution (or a small family of distributions) whose analysis provides a good understanding of the situation. The most known case is when we are estimating the largest possible value of Shannon’s entropy: in this case, it is sufficient to consider the uniform distribution on the interval. Interesting, estimating other characteristics leads to the selection of the same uniform distribution: e.g., estimating the largest possible values of generalized entropy or of some sensitivity-related characteristics. In this paper, we provide a general explanation of why uniform distribution appears in different situations – namely, it appears every time we have a permutation-invariant optimization problem with the unique optimum. We also discuss what happens if we have an optimization problem that attains its optimum at several different distributions – this happens, e.g., when we are estimating the smallest possible value of Shannon’s entropy (or of its generalizations).

AB - In many practical situations, we only know the interval containing the quantity of interest, we have no information about the probabilities of different values within this interval. In contrast to the cases when we know the distributions and can thus use Monte-Carlo simulations, processing such interval uncertainty is difficult – crudely speaking, because we need to try all possible distributions on this interval. Sometimes, the problem can be simplified: namely, for estimating the range of values of some characteristics of the distribution, it is possible to select a single distribution (or a small family of distributions) whose analysis provides a good understanding of the situation. The most known case is when we are estimating the largest possible value of Shannon’s entropy: in this case, it is sufficient to consider the uniform distribution on the interval. Interesting, estimating other characteristics leads to the selection of the same uniform distribution: e.g., estimating the largest possible values of generalized entropy or of some sensitivity-related characteristics. In this paper, we provide a general explanation of why uniform distribution appears in different situations – namely, it appears every time we have a permutation-invariant optimization problem with the unique optimum. We also discuss what happens if we have an optimization problem that attains its optimum at several different distributions – this happens, e.g., when we are estimating the smallest possible value of Shannon’s entropy (or of its generalizations).

KW - Interval uncertainty

KW - Maximum Entropy approach

KW - Sensitivity analysis

KW - Uniform distribution

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T3 - Communications in Computer and Information Science

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BT - Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems

A2 - Lesot, Marie-Jeanne

A2 - Vieira, Susana

A2 - Reformat, Marek Z.

A2 - Carvalho, João Paulo

A2 - Wilbik, Anna

A2 - Bouchon-Meunier, Bernadette

A2 - Yager, Ronald R.

CY - Cham

Y2 - 15 June 2020 through 19 June 2020

ER -

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