Time-Dependent Reliability of Aging Structures: Overview of Assessment Methods

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftÜbersichtsarbeitForschungPeer-Review

Autoren

Externe Organisationen

  • University of Wollongong
  • The University of Liverpool
  • International Joint Research Center for Engineering Reliability and Stochastic Mechanics
  • Tongji University
  • University of Maryland
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Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Aufsatznummer03121003
Seitenumfang22
FachzeitschriftASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Jahrgang7
Ausgabenummer4
Frühes Online-Datum31 Juli 2021
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - Dez. 2021

Abstract

Reliability assessment of engineered structures is a powerful and useful concept to estimate the structural capacity of withstanding hazardous events during their service lives. Taking into account the time variation of both structural resistance and the external load processes, the structural safety level is dependent on the duration of service period of interest, due to the accumulation of hazards by exposure in time. This paper presents an overview on the nonempirical assessment methods for time-dependent reliability of deteriorating structures. Generally, these methods can be classified into two types, namely simulation-based and analytical methods. The former is usually brute, and is especially suitable for solving high-dimensional reliability problems. Conversely, analytical solutions may improve the calculation efficiency significantly, and offer insights into the reliability problem that otherwise could be difficult to achieve through Monte Carlo simulation. Both the simulation-based and analytical methods will be reviewed in this paper. Furthermore, the application of time-dependent reliability methods in practical engineering is discussed. Recommendations for future research efforts are also presented.

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Zitieren

Time-Dependent Reliability of Aging Structures: Overview of Assessment Methods. / Wang, Cao; Beer, Michael; Ayyub, Bilal M.
in: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, Jahrgang 7, Nr. 4, 03121003, 12.2021.

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftÜbersichtsarbeitForschungPeer-Review

Wang, C, Beer, M & Ayyub, BM 2021, 'Time-Dependent Reliability of Aging Structures: Overview of Assessment Methods', ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, Jg. 7, Nr. 4, 03121003. https://doi.org/10.1061/AJRUA6.0001176
Wang, C., Beer, M., & Ayyub, B. M. (2021). Time-Dependent Reliability of Aging Structures: Overview of Assessment Methods. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, 7(4), Artikel 03121003. https://doi.org/10.1061/AJRUA6.0001176
Wang C, Beer M, Ayyub BM. Time-Dependent Reliability of Aging Structures: Overview of Assessment Methods. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering. 2021 Dez;7(4):03121003. Epub 2021 Jul 31. doi: 10.1061/AJRUA6.0001176
Wang, Cao ; Beer, Michael ; Ayyub, Bilal M. / Time-Dependent Reliability of Aging Structures : Overview of Assessment Methods. in: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering. 2021 ; Jahrgang 7, Nr. 4.
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T2 - Overview of Assessment Methods

AU - Wang, Cao

AU - Beer, Michael

AU - Ayyub, Bilal M.

N1 - Funding Information: The first author would like to thank the Institute for Risk and Reliability, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Germany, and the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation for providing support to complete this paper. The thoughtful reviewer comments are gratefully acknowledged, which substantially improved the present paper.

PY - 2021/12

Y1 - 2021/12

N2 - Reliability assessment of engineered structures is a powerful and useful concept to estimate the structural capacity of withstanding hazardous events during their service lives. Taking into account the time variation of both structural resistance and the external load processes, the structural safety level is dependent on the duration of service period of interest, due to the accumulation of hazards by exposure in time. This paper presents an overview on the nonempirical assessment methods for time-dependent reliability of deteriorating structures. Generally, these methods can be classified into two types, namely simulation-based and analytical methods. The former is usually brute, and is especially suitable for solving high-dimensional reliability problems. Conversely, analytical solutions may improve the calculation efficiency significantly, and offer insights into the reliability problem that otherwise could be difficult to achieve through Monte Carlo simulation. Both the simulation-based and analytical methods will be reviewed in this paper. Furthermore, the application of time-dependent reliability methods in practical engineering is discussed. Recommendations for future research efforts are also presented.

AB - Reliability assessment of engineered structures is a powerful and useful concept to estimate the structural capacity of withstanding hazardous events during their service lives. Taking into account the time variation of both structural resistance and the external load processes, the structural safety level is dependent on the duration of service period of interest, due to the accumulation of hazards by exposure in time. This paper presents an overview on the nonempirical assessment methods for time-dependent reliability of deteriorating structures. Generally, these methods can be classified into two types, namely simulation-based and analytical methods. The former is usually brute, and is especially suitable for solving high-dimensional reliability problems. Conversely, analytical solutions may improve the calculation efficiency significantly, and offer insights into the reliability problem that otherwise could be difficult to achieve through Monte Carlo simulation. Both the simulation-based and analytical methods will be reviewed in this paper. Furthermore, the application of time-dependent reliability methods in practical engineering is discussed. Recommendations for future research efforts are also presented.

KW - Analytical approach

KW - Load stochastic processes

KW - Monte Carlo simulation

KW - Resilience

KW - Resistance deterioration

KW - Structural reliability

KW - Time-dependent reliability

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U2 - 10.1061/AJRUA6.0001176

DO - 10.1061/AJRUA6.0001176

M3 - Review article

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VL - 7

JO - ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering

JF - ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering

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