Loading [MathJax]/extensions/tex2jax.js

Revealing prediction uncertainty in artificial neural network based reconstruction of missing data in stochastic process records utilizing extreme learning machines

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Bericht/Sammelwerk/KonferenzbandAufsatz in KonferenzbandForschungPeer-Review

Autorschaft

Externe Organisationen

  • The University of Liverpool
  • Changsha University of Science and Technology
  • Tongji University

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Titel des Sammelwerks2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings
Herausgeber (Verlag)Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Seiten1-7
Seitenumfang7
ISBN (elektronisch)9781538627266
ISBN (Print)9781538627273
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 2017
Veranstaltung2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Honolulu, USA / Vereinigte Staaten
Dauer: 27 Nov. 20171 Dez. 2017

Abstract

An artificial neural network (ANN) based approach is developed for reconstructing gappy stochastic process records. ANNs can be utilized to capture stochastic patterns in process records in an 'average sense', however individual predictions of missing data can be unreliable. This is both due to the inherent uncertainty introduced by the stochastic process itself, and to uncertainties relating to ANN parameters. Here, instead of relying on single network predictions, an ensemble of networks are trained on the data, the outputs of which are used to estimate statistical distributions for random variables which replace deterministic predictions. In order for this approach to be computationally viable, single-layer feed-forward networks, initialized with random weights are trained via fast, non-iterative least-squares fitting, popularly known as Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) networks. Examples are provided with real data to demonstrate both network prediction effectiveness and uncertainties revealed by varying network parameters.

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Zitieren

Revealing prediction uncertainty in artificial neural network based reconstruction of missing data in stochastic process records utilizing extreme learning machines. / Comerford, Liam; Beer, Michael; Lu, Naiwei.
2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2017. S. 1-7.

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Bericht/Sammelwerk/KonferenzbandAufsatz in KonferenzbandForschungPeer-Review

Comerford, L, Beer, M & Lu, N 2017, Revealing prediction uncertainty in artificial neural network based reconstruction of missing data in stochastic process records utilizing extreme learning machines. in 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., S. 1-7, 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017, Honolulu, USA / Vereinigte Staaten, 27 Nov. 2017. https://doi.org/10.1109/SSCI.2017.8285295
Comerford, L., Beer, M., & Lu, N. (2017). Revealing prediction uncertainty in artificial neural network based reconstruction of missing data in stochastic process records utilizing extreme learning machines. In 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings (S. 1-7). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/SSCI.2017.8285295
Comerford L, Beer M, Lu N. Revealing prediction uncertainty in artificial neural network based reconstruction of missing data in stochastic process records utilizing extreme learning machines. in 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2017. S. 1-7 doi: 10.1109/SSCI.2017.8285295
Comerford, Liam ; Beer, Michael ; Lu, Naiwei. / Revealing prediction uncertainty in artificial neural network based reconstruction of missing data in stochastic process records utilizing extreme learning machines. 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2017. S. 1-7
Download
@inproceedings{1338876b229a4e9bb828b15200de86bc,
title = "Revealing prediction uncertainty in artificial neural network based reconstruction of missing data in stochastic process records utilizing extreme learning machines",
abstract = "An artificial neural network (ANN) based approach is developed for reconstructing gappy stochastic process records. ANNs can be utilized to capture stochastic patterns in process records in an 'average sense', however individual predictions of missing data can be unreliable. This is both due to the inherent uncertainty introduced by the stochastic process itself, and to uncertainties relating to ANN parameters. Here, instead of relying on single network predictions, an ensemble of networks are trained on the data, the outputs of which are used to estimate statistical distributions for random variables which replace deterministic predictions. In order for this approach to be computationally viable, single-layer feed-forward networks, initialized with random weights are trained via fast, non-iterative least-squares fitting, popularly known as Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) networks. Examples are provided with real data to demonstrate both network prediction effectiveness and uncertainties revealed by varying network parameters.",
keywords = "artificial neural networks, extreme learning machines, missing data, prediction uncertainty",
author = "Liam Comerford and Michael Beer and Naiwei Lu",
note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2017 IEEE.; 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 ; Conference date: 27-11-2017 Through 01-12-2017",
year = "2017",
doi = "10.1109/SSCI.2017.8285295",
language = "English",
isbn = "9781538627273",
pages = "1--7",
booktitle = "2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings",
publisher = "Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.",
address = "United States",

}

Download

TY - GEN

T1 - Revealing prediction uncertainty in artificial neural network based reconstruction of missing data in stochastic process records utilizing extreme learning machines

AU - Comerford, Liam

AU - Beer, Michael

AU - Lu, Naiwei

N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2017 IEEE.

PY - 2017

Y1 - 2017

N2 - An artificial neural network (ANN) based approach is developed for reconstructing gappy stochastic process records. ANNs can be utilized to capture stochastic patterns in process records in an 'average sense', however individual predictions of missing data can be unreliable. This is both due to the inherent uncertainty introduced by the stochastic process itself, and to uncertainties relating to ANN parameters. Here, instead of relying on single network predictions, an ensemble of networks are trained on the data, the outputs of which are used to estimate statistical distributions for random variables which replace deterministic predictions. In order for this approach to be computationally viable, single-layer feed-forward networks, initialized with random weights are trained via fast, non-iterative least-squares fitting, popularly known as Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) networks. Examples are provided with real data to demonstrate both network prediction effectiveness and uncertainties revealed by varying network parameters.

AB - An artificial neural network (ANN) based approach is developed for reconstructing gappy stochastic process records. ANNs can be utilized to capture stochastic patterns in process records in an 'average sense', however individual predictions of missing data can be unreliable. This is both due to the inherent uncertainty introduced by the stochastic process itself, and to uncertainties relating to ANN parameters. Here, instead of relying on single network predictions, an ensemble of networks are trained on the data, the outputs of which are used to estimate statistical distributions for random variables which replace deterministic predictions. In order for this approach to be computationally viable, single-layer feed-forward networks, initialized with random weights are trained via fast, non-iterative least-squares fitting, popularly known as Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) networks. Examples are provided with real data to demonstrate both network prediction effectiveness and uncertainties revealed by varying network parameters.

KW - artificial neural networks

KW - extreme learning machines

KW - missing data

KW - prediction uncertainty

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85046089988&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1109/SSCI.2017.8285295

DO - 10.1109/SSCI.2017.8285295

M3 - Conference contribution

SN - 9781538627273

SP - 1

EP - 7

BT - 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings

PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.

T2 - 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017

Y2 - 27 November 2017 through 1 December 2017

ER -

Von denselben Autoren