Probabilistic fatigue analysis of jacket support structures for offshore wind turbines exemplified on tubular joints

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftKonferenzaufsatz in FachzeitschriftForschungPeer-Review

Autoren

  • Sebastian Kelma
  • Peter Schaumann

Organisationseinheiten

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Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)151-158
Seitenumfang8
FachzeitschriftEnergy Procedia
Jahrgang80
PublikationsstatusElektronisch veröffentlicht (E-Pub) - 2 Dez. 2015
Veranstaltung12th Deep Sea Offshore Wind R and D Conference, EERA DeepWind 2015 - Trondheim, Norwegen
Dauer: 4 Feb. 20156 Feb. 2015

Abstract

The design of offshore wind turbines is usually based on the semi-probabilistic safety concept. Using probabilistic methods, the aim is to find an advanced structural design of OWTs in order to improve safety and reduce costs. The probabilistic design is exemplified on tubular joints of a jacket substructure. Loads and resistance are considered by their respective probability distributions. Time series of loads are generated by fully-coupled numerical simulation of the offshore wind turbine. Especially the very high stress ranges that rarely occur during a period with constant conditions are decisive for the fatigue design. The peak-over-threshold method is applied to find the probability distribution of the very high stress ranges. The method of maximum-likelihood estimation is used to determine the parameters of the underlying generalized Pareto distribution. Further analysis shows that especially the number of the very high stress ranges, scattering for different time series, has a significant impact on the resulting fatigue damage.

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Probabilistic fatigue analysis of jacket support structures for offshore wind turbines exemplified on tubular joints. / Kelma, Sebastian; Schaumann, Peter.
in: Energy Procedia, Jahrgang 80, 02.12.2015, S. 151-158.

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftKonferenzaufsatz in FachzeitschriftForschungPeer-Review

Kelma S, Schaumann P. Probabilistic fatigue analysis of jacket support structures for offshore wind turbines exemplified on tubular joints. Energy Procedia. 2015 Dez 2;80:151-158. Epub 2015 Dez 2. doi: 10.1016/j.egypro.2015.11.417, https://doi.org/10.15488/782
Kelma, Sebastian ; Schaumann, Peter. / Probabilistic fatigue analysis of jacket support structures for offshore wind turbines exemplified on tubular joints. in: Energy Procedia. 2015 ; Jahrgang 80. S. 151-158.
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abstract = "The design of offshore wind turbines is usually based on the semi-probabilistic safety concept. Using probabilistic methods, the aim is to find an advanced structural design of OWTs in order to improve safety and reduce costs. The probabilistic design is exemplified on tubular joints of a jacket substructure. Loads and resistance are considered by their respective probability distributions. Time series of loads are generated by fully-coupled numerical simulation of the offshore wind turbine. Especially the very high stress ranges that rarely occur during a period with constant conditions are decisive for the fatigue design. The peak-over-threshold method is applied to find the probability distribution of the very high stress ranges. The method of maximum-likelihood estimation is used to determine the parameters of the underlying generalized Pareto distribution. Further analysis shows that especially the number of the very high stress ranges, scattering for different time series, has a significant impact on the resulting fatigue damage.",
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AU - Schaumann, Peter

N1 - Funding Information: This study has been carried out within the research project "Probabilistic Safety Assessment of Offshore Wind Turbines", financially supported by the Ministry for Science and Culture in Lower Saxony, Germany. The software used for fully-coupled simulations of OWTs consists of the software Flex5, provided by Senvion SE, and the FE tool Poseidon. The Ministry for Science and Culture in Lower Saxony and Senvion SE are kindly acknowledged.

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AB - The design of offshore wind turbines is usually based on the semi-probabilistic safety concept. Using probabilistic methods, the aim is to find an advanced structural design of OWTs in order to improve safety and reduce costs. The probabilistic design is exemplified on tubular joints of a jacket substructure. Loads and resistance are considered by their respective probability distributions. Time series of loads are generated by fully-coupled numerical simulation of the offshore wind turbine. Especially the very high stress ranges that rarely occur during a period with constant conditions are decisive for the fatigue design. The peak-over-threshold method is applied to find the probability distribution of the very high stress ranges. The method of maximum-likelihood estimation is used to determine the parameters of the underlying generalized Pareto distribution. Further analysis shows that especially the number of the very high stress ranges, scattering for different time series, has a significant impact on the resulting fatigue damage.

KW - fatigue design

KW - generalized Pareto distribution

KW - jacket substructure

KW - offshore wind energy

KW - peak-over-threshold method

KW - probabilistic analysis

KW - tubular joints

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