Over-indebtedness and its persistence in rural households in Thailand and Vietnam

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftArtikelForschungPeer-Review

Autorschaft

  • Bezawit Beyene Chichaibelu
  • Hermann Waibel

Externe Organisationen

  • Internationaler Fonds für landwirtschaftliche Entwicklung (IFAD)
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Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)1-23
Seitenumfang23
FachzeitschriftJournal of Asian Economics
Jahrgang56
Frühes Online-Datum24 Apr. 2018
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - Juni 2018

Abstract

This study analyzes the determinants of household over-indebtedness and its persistence for rural household borrowers in Thailand and Vietnam. A household is considered to be over-indebted if it is in default or arrears on a loan or if its ratio of debt service to income exceeds 50 percent. The persistence of over-indebtedness was tested using a Heckman random effects dynamic probit model controlling for the effect of household demographic, socioeconomic, and behavioral characteristics. For Thailand, but not for Vietnam, past experience of over-indebtedness increases the probability of being over-indebted in the present, controlling for other household characteristics. Village support systems in Vietnam may be more effective in delivering households out of over-indebtedness than in Thailand where heavy debt burdens are taken more for granted. Household characteristics that significantly increase the probability of over-indebtedness include poverty, household size, low education, overly optimistic forecasting of income, and a sense of being less well off than other villagers.

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Over-indebtedness and its persistence in rural households in Thailand and Vietnam. / Chichaibelu, Bezawit Beyene; Waibel, Hermann.
in: Journal of Asian Economics, Jahrgang 56, 06.2018, S. 1-23.

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftArtikelForschungPeer-Review

Chichaibelu BB, Waibel H. Over-indebtedness and its persistence in rural households in Thailand and Vietnam. Journal of Asian Economics. 2018 Jun;56:1-23. Epub 2018 Apr 24. doi: 10.1016/j.asieco.2018.04.002
Chichaibelu, Bezawit Beyene ; Waibel, Hermann. / Over-indebtedness and its persistence in rural households in Thailand and Vietnam. in: Journal of Asian Economics. 2018 ; Jahrgang 56. S. 1-23.
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N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2018 Copyright: Copyright 2018 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

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N2 - This study analyzes the determinants of household over-indebtedness and its persistence for rural household borrowers in Thailand and Vietnam. A household is considered to be over-indebted if it is in default or arrears on a loan or if its ratio of debt service to income exceeds 50 percent. The persistence of over-indebtedness was tested using a Heckman random effects dynamic probit model controlling for the effect of household demographic, socioeconomic, and behavioral characteristics. For Thailand, but not for Vietnam, past experience of over-indebtedness increases the probability of being over-indebted in the present, controlling for other household characteristics. Village support systems in Vietnam may be more effective in delivering households out of over-indebtedness than in Thailand where heavy debt burdens are taken more for granted. Household characteristics that significantly increase the probability of over-indebtedness include poverty, household size, low education, overly optimistic forecasting of income, and a sense of being less well off than other villagers.

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