Optimal portfolio choice in the presence of domestic systemic risk: Empirical evidence from stock markets

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OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)141-168
Seitenumfang28
FachzeitschriftDecisions in Economics and Finance
Jahrgang34
Ausgabenummer2
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 1 Nov. 2011
Extern publiziertJa

Abstract

In this paper, we empirically investigate the consequences of domestic systemic risk for stock market investors. To tackle this issue, we consider two different investment strategies. One strategy is to be "crisis-conscious", i. e., taking the possibility of systemic events into account, and the other one is to be "crisis-ignorant" and thus disregarding systemic risk. We compare the optimal portfolio choices and investment results of these strategies in an historical simulation, using almost three decades of historical stock price data. Our main findings are as follows: the crisis-conscious investor tends to choose less extreme portfolio weights for individual stocks than the ignorant investor. The overall risky investment is, however, of similar size for both. By ignoring the possibility of systemic events, the crisis-ignorant strategy performs significantly worse from the viewpoint of expected return as well as expected utility.

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Optimal portfolio choice in the presence of domestic systemic risk: Empirical evidence from stock markets. / Prokopczuk, Marcel.
in: Decisions in Economics and Finance, Jahrgang 34, Nr. 2, 01.11.2011, S. 141-168.

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftArtikelForschungPeer-Review

Prokopczuk M. Optimal portfolio choice in the presence of domestic systemic risk: Empirical evidence from stock markets. Decisions in Economics and Finance. 2011 Nov 1;34(2):141-168. doi: 10.1007/s10203-011-0111-5
Prokopczuk, Marcel. / Optimal portfolio choice in the presence of domestic systemic risk : Empirical evidence from stock markets. in: Decisions in Economics and Finance. 2011 ; Jahrgang 34, Nr. 2. S. 141-168.
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