TY - GEN

T1 - Modeling the reliability of large thermal power plants in an integrated grid and market model

AU - Breithaupt, T.

AU - Rendel, T.

AU - Rathke, C.

AU - Hofmann, L.

PY - 2012/10/1

Y1 - 2012/10/1

N2 - An existing integrated grid and m European power supply is extended by a mode of large thermal power plants. Based on a operating characteristics that are partly stochastic determinate a stochastic model with eight state simulate the stochastic state transitions probability are derived from operating charts of real powe probability distributions are not representative thermal power plants, they are adjusted statistical data of the European technical asso and heat generation VGB PowerTech. To so model a Monte Carlo simulation is used. The co of the market model with implemented reliabi clear increase in the annual average electricity results where unavailability is not considered. With implemented reliability model the annual average electricity prize increases by 10.4 percent.

AB - An existing integrated grid and m European power supply is extended by a mode of large thermal power plants. Based on a operating characteristics that are partly stochastic determinate a stochastic model with eight state simulate the stochastic state transitions probability are derived from operating charts of real powe probability distributions are not representative thermal power plants, they are adjusted statistical data of the European technical asso and heat generation VGB PowerTech. To so model a Monte Carlo simulation is used. The co of the market model with implemented reliabi clear increase in the annual average electricity results where unavailability is not considered. With implemented reliability model the annual average electricity prize increases by 10.4 percent.

KW - Monte Carlo methods

KW - power generation reliability

KW - power grids

KW - power supply quality

KW - statistical distributions

KW - stochastic processes

KW - thermal power stations

KW - reliability

KW - thermal power plants

KW - integrated grid

KW - market model

KW - European power supply

KW - stochastic model

KW - probability distributions

KW - representative statistical data

KW - heat generation VGB PowerTech

KW - Monte Carlo simulation

KW - electricity prize

KW - Analytical models

KW - Europe

KW - Reliability

KW - Thermal analysis

KW - Inspection

KW - power system

KW - power plant

KW - model

U2 - 10.1109/PowerCon.2012.6401366

DO - 10.1109/PowerCon.2012.6401366

M3 - Conference contribution

SP - 1

EP - 6

BT - 2012 IEEE International Conference on Power System Technology (POWERCON)

ER -