Implicit and Explicit Modeling of Uncertainty in Early Design Stages of Product Design: A Comparative Study

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Bericht/Sammelwerk/KonferenzbandAufsatz in KonferenzbandForschungPeer-Review

Autoren

  • Stefan Plappert
  • Philipp Wolniak
  • Paul Christoph Gembarski
  • Roland Lachmayer
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Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Titel des SammelwerksTowards Sustainable Customization
UntertitelBridging Smart Products and Manufacturing Systems - Proceedings of the 8th Changeable, Agile, Reconfigurable and Virtual Production Conference CARV 2021 and 10th World Mass Customization and Personalization Conference MCPC 2021
Herausgeber/-innenAnn-Louise Andersen, Rasmus Andersen, Thomas Ditlev Brunoe, Maria Stoettrup Schioenning Larsen, Kjeld Nielsen, Alessia Napoleone, Stefan Kjeldgaard
Herausgeber (Verlag)Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Seiten653-660
Seitenumfang8
ISBN (elektronisch)978-3-030-90700-6
ISBN (Print)978-3-030-90699-3
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 2022
Veranstaltung8th Changeable, Agile, Reconfigurable and Virtual Production Conference, CARV 2021 and 10th World Mass Customization and Personalization Conference, MCPC 2021 - Aalborg, Dänemark
Dauer: 1 Nov. 20212 Nov. 2021

Publikationsreihe

NameLecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering
ISSN (Print)2195-4356
ISSN (elektronisch)2195-4364

Abstract

During product development, many decisions have to be made which affect the entire product life cycle. Especially in early phases in product development these decisions are subject to uncertainties when involving customer specific requirements. To support the designer in developing robust products that are insensitive to uncertainty, this paper compares two opposing approaches for modeling and assessing uncertainties: an explicit method in form of a Bayesian decision network with utility functions and an implicit method in form of a robust numerical optimization with sampling of a model-based product representation. Hence, a quantitative and qualitative comparison is provided regarding the modeling expense and the usability in early design stages. Regarding the integration into the product development process we propose a combination of the two approaches as complementary tools.

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Zitieren

Implicit and Explicit Modeling of Uncertainty in Early Design Stages of Product Design: A Comparative Study. / Plappert, Stefan; Wolniak, Philipp; Gembarski, Paul Christoph et al.
Towards Sustainable Customization: Bridging Smart Products and Manufacturing Systems - Proceedings of the 8th Changeable, Agile, Reconfigurable and Virtual Production Conference CARV 2021 and 10th World Mass Customization and Personalization Conference MCPC 2021. Hrsg. / Ann-Louise Andersen; Rasmus Andersen; Thomas Ditlev Brunoe; Maria Stoettrup Schioenning Larsen; Kjeld Nielsen; Alessia Napoleone; Stefan Kjeldgaard. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2022. S. 653-660 (Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering).

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Bericht/Sammelwerk/KonferenzbandAufsatz in KonferenzbandForschungPeer-Review

Plappert, S, Wolniak, P, Gembarski, PC & Lachmayer, R 2022, Implicit and Explicit Modeling of Uncertainty in Early Design Stages of Product Design: A Comparative Study. in A-L Andersen, R Andersen, TD Brunoe, MSS Larsen, K Nielsen, A Napoleone & S Kjeldgaard (Hrsg.), Towards Sustainable Customization: Bridging Smart Products and Manufacturing Systems - Proceedings of the 8th Changeable, Agile, Reconfigurable and Virtual Production Conference CARV 2021 and 10th World Mass Customization and Personalization Conference MCPC 2021. Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering, Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, S. 653-660, 8th Changeable, Agile, Reconfigurable and Virtual Production Conference, CARV 2021 and 10th World Mass Customization and Personalization Conference, MCPC 2021, Aalborg, Dänemark, 1 Nov. 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-90700-6_74
Plappert, S., Wolniak, P., Gembarski, P. C., & Lachmayer, R. (2022). Implicit and Explicit Modeling of Uncertainty in Early Design Stages of Product Design: A Comparative Study. In A.-L. Andersen, R. Andersen, T. D. Brunoe, M. S. S. Larsen, K. Nielsen, A. Napoleone, & S. Kjeldgaard (Hrsg.), Towards Sustainable Customization: Bridging Smart Products and Manufacturing Systems - Proceedings of the 8th Changeable, Agile, Reconfigurable and Virtual Production Conference CARV 2021 and 10th World Mass Customization and Personalization Conference MCPC 2021 (S. 653-660). (Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering). Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-90700-6_74
Plappert S, Wolniak P, Gembarski PC, Lachmayer R. Implicit and Explicit Modeling of Uncertainty in Early Design Stages of Product Design: A Comparative Study. in Andersen AL, Andersen R, Brunoe TD, Larsen MSS, Nielsen K, Napoleone A, Kjeldgaard S, Hrsg., Towards Sustainable Customization: Bridging Smart Products and Manufacturing Systems - Proceedings of the 8th Changeable, Agile, Reconfigurable and Virtual Production Conference CARV 2021 and 10th World Mass Customization and Personalization Conference MCPC 2021. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH. 2022. S. 653-660. (Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering). Epub 2021 Nov 1. doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-90700-6_74
Plappert, Stefan ; Wolniak, Philipp ; Gembarski, Paul Christoph et al. / Implicit and Explicit Modeling of Uncertainty in Early Design Stages of Product Design : A Comparative Study. Towards Sustainable Customization: Bridging Smart Products and Manufacturing Systems - Proceedings of the 8th Changeable, Agile, Reconfigurable and Virtual Production Conference CARV 2021 and 10th World Mass Customization and Personalization Conference MCPC 2021. Hrsg. / Ann-Louise Andersen ; Rasmus Andersen ; Thomas Ditlev Brunoe ; Maria Stoettrup Schioenning Larsen ; Kjeld Nielsen ; Alessia Napoleone ; Stefan Kjeldgaard. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2022. S. 653-660 (Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering).
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abstract = "During product development, many decisions have to be made which affect the entire product life cycle. Especially in early phases in product development these decisions are subject to uncertainties when involving customer specific requirements. To support the designer in developing robust products that are insensitive to uncertainty, this paper compares two opposing approaches for modeling and assessing uncertainties: an explicit method in form of a Bayesian decision network with utility functions and an implicit method in form of a robust numerical optimization with sampling of a model-based product representation. Hence, a quantitative and qualitative comparison is provided regarding the modeling expense and the usability in early design stages. Regarding the integration into the product development process we propose a combination of the two approaches as complementary tools.",
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