Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks

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OriginalspracheEnglisch
Titel des SammelwerksEngineering Applications of Neural Networks - 13th International Conference, EANN 2012, Proceedings
Herausgeber/-innenShigang Yue, Lazaros Iliadis
Seiten423-432
Seitenumfang10
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 2012
Veranstaltung2012 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computational Intelligence, AICI 2012 - Chengdu, China
Dauer: 26 Okt. 201228 Okt. 2012

Publikationsreihe

NameCommunications in Computer and Information Science
Band311
ISSN (Print)1865-0929

Abstract

Intraday trading has some appealing characteristics. For example, overnight gap risks are greatly reduced. Intraday trading strategies tend to achieve better risk adjusted returns. However, academic literature on intraday trading strategies is relatively scarce compared to a significant amount of literature based on daily closing data. This may be partly related to the increased difficulty of dealing with intraday data. In the present paper we expand on a novel approach that builds an intraday trading strategy on open-high-low-close (OHLC) data. OHLC data is easily available from most database vendors. We use OHLC data to train neural networks that forecast the day's high and low of liquid US stocks and ETFs. The resulting long-short strategy tries to take advantage of the daily trading range of a security and exits all positions at the close. A volatility filter further improves risk-adjusted returns.

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Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks. / von Mettenheim, Hans Jörg; Breitner, Michael H.
Engineering Applications of Neural Networks - 13th International Conference, EANN 2012, Proceedings. Hrsg. / Shigang Yue; Lazaros Iliadis. 2012. S. 423-432 (Communications in Computer and Information Science; Band 311).

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Bericht/Sammelwerk/KonferenzbandAufsatz in KonferenzbandForschungPeer-Review

von Mettenheim, HJ & Breitner, MH 2012, Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks. in S Yue & L Iliadis (Hrsg.), Engineering Applications of Neural Networks - 13th International Conference, EANN 2012, Proceedings. Communications in Computer and Information Science, Bd. 311, S. 423-432, 2012 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computational Intelligence, AICI 2012, Chengdu, China, 26 Okt. 2012. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32909-8_43
von Mettenheim, H. J., & Breitner, M. H. (2012). Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks. In S. Yue, & L. Iliadis (Hrsg.), Engineering Applications of Neural Networks - 13th International Conference, EANN 2012, Proceedings (S. 423-432). (Communications in Computer and Information Science; Band 311). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32909-8_43
von Mettenheim HJ, Breitner MH. Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks. in Yue S, Iliadis L, Hrsg., Engineering Applications of Neural Networks - 13th International Conference, EANN 2012, Proceedings. 2012. S. 423-432. (Communications in Computer and Information Science). doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-32909-8_43
von Mettenheim, Hans Jörg ; Breitner, Michael H. / Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks. Engineering Applications of Neural Networks - 13th International Conference, EANN 2012, Proceedings. Hrsg. / Shigang Yue ; Lazaros Iliadis. 2012. S. 423-432 (Communications in Computer and Information Science).
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abstract = "Intraday trading has some appealing characteristics. For example, overnight gap risks are greatly reduced. Intraday trading strategies tend to achieve better risk adjusted returns. However, academic literature on intraday trading strategies is relatively scarce compared to a significant amount of literature based on daily closing data. This may be partly related to the increased difficulty of dealing with intraday data. In the present paper we expand on a novel approach that builds an intraday trading strategy on open-high-low-close (OHLC) data. OHLC data is easily available from most database vendors. We use OHLC data to train neural networks that forecast the day's high and low of liquid US stocks and ETFs. The resulting long-short strategy tries to take advantage of the daily trading range of a security and exits all positions at the close. A volatility filter further improves risk-adjusted returns.",
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