Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftKonferenzaufsatz in FachzeitschriftForschungPeer-Review

Autoren

  • Paramita Koley
  • Harshavardhan Alimi
  • Shrey Singla
  • Sourangshu Bhattacharya
  • Niloy Ganguly
  • Abir De

Organisationseinheiten

Externe Organisationen

  • Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur (IITKGP)
  • Indian Institute of Technology Bombay (IITB)
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Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)6940-6955
Seitenumfang16
FachzeitschriftProceedings of Machine Learning Research
Jahrgang206
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 2023
Veranstaltung26th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, AISTATS 2023 - Valencia, Spanien
Dauer: 25 Apr. 202327 Apr. 2023

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the problem of global change-point detection in event sequence data, where both the event distributions and changepoints are assumed to be unknown. For this problem, we propose a Log-likelihood Ratio based Global Change-point Detector, which observes the entire sequence and detects a prespecified number of change-points. Based on the Transformer Hawkes Process (THP), a well-known neural TPP framework, we develop DCPD, a differentiable change-point detector, along with maintaining distinct intensity and mark predictor for each partition. Further, we propose a sliding-window-based extension of DCPD to improve its scalability in terms of the number of events or change-points with minor sacrifices in performance. Experiments on synthetic datasets explore the effects of run-time, relative complexity, and other aspects of distributions on various properties of our changepoint detectors, namely robustness, detection accuracy, scalability, etc., under controlled environments. Finally, we perform experiments on six real-world temporal event sequences collected from diverse domains like health, geographical regions, etc., and show that our methods either outperform or perform comparably with the baselines.

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Zitieren

Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes. / Koley, Paramita; Alimi, Harshavardhan; Singla, Shrey et al.
in: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, Jahrgang 206, 2023, S. 6940-6955.

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftKonferenzaufsatz in FachzeitschriftForschungPeer-Review

Koley, P, Alimi, H, Singla, S, Bhattacharya, S, Ganguly, N & De, A 2023, 'Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes', Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, Jg. 206, S. 6940-6955. <https://proceedings.mlr.press/v206/koley23a.html>
Koley, P., Alimi, H., Singla, S., Bhattacharya, S., Ganguly, N., & De, A. (2023). Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes. Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, 206, 6940-6955. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v206/koley23a.html
Koley P, Alimi H, Singla S, Bhattacharya S, Ganguly N, De A. Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes. Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 2023;206:6940-6955.
Koley, Paramita ; Alimi, Harshavardhan ; Singla, Shrey et al. / Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes. in: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 2023 ; Jahrgang 206. S. 6940-6955.
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title = "Differentiable Change-point Detection With Temporal Point Processes",
abstract = "In this paper, we consider the problem of global change-point detection in event sequence data, where both the event distributions and changepoints are assumed to be unknown. For this problem, we propose a Log-likelihood Ratio based Global Change-point Detector, which observes the entire sequence and detects a prespecified number of change-points. Based on the Transformer Hawkes Process (THP), a well-known neural TPP framework, we develop DCPD, a differentiable change-point detector, along with maintaining distinct intensity and mark predictor for each partition. Further, we propose a sliding-window-based extension of DCPD to improve its scalability in terms of the number of events or change-points with minor sacrifices in performance. Experiments on synthetic datasets explore the effects of run-time, relative complexity, and other aspects of distributions on various properties of our changepoint detectors, namely robustness, detection accuracy, scalability, etc., under controlled environments. Finally, we perform experiments on six real-world temporal event sequences collected from diverse domains like health, geographical regions, etc., and show that our methods either outperform or perform comparably with the baselines.",
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AU - Koley, Paramita

AU - Alimi, Harshavardhan

AU - Singla, Shrey

AU - Bhattacharya, Sourangshu

AU - Ganguly, Niloy

AU - De, Abir

N1 - Funding Information: This research was (partially) funded by the Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF), Germany under the project LeibnizKILabor with grant No. 01DD20003 and an Intel Inc, India project. Abir De acknowledges a Google Faculty Grant and IBM AI Horizon grant.

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N2 - In this paper, we consider the problem of global change-point detection in event sequence data, where both the event distributions and changepoints are assumed to be unknown. For this problem, we propose a Log-likelihood Ratio based Global Change-point Detector, which observes the entire sequence and detects a prespecified number of change-points. Based on the Transformer Hawkes Process (THP), a well-known neural TPP framework, we develop DCPD, a differentiable change-point detector, along with maintaining distinct intensity and mark predictor for each partition. Further, we propose a sliding-window-based extension of DCPD to improve its scalability in terms of the number of events or change-points with minor sacrifices in performance. Experiments on synthetic datasets explore the effects of run-time, relative complexity, and other aspects of distributions on various properties of our changepoint detectors, namely robustness, detection accuracy, scalability, etc., under controlled environments. Finally, we perform experiments on six real-world temporal event sequences collected from diverse domains like health, geographical regions, etc., and show that our methods either outperform or perform comparably with the baselines.

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