Describing complex interactions of social-ecological systems for tipping point assessments: an analytical framework

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftArtikelForschungPeer-Review

Autoren

  • Rebecca Froese
  • Alberto Andrino
  • Renzo Giudice
  • Benjamin Stuch
  • Simone Kilian Salas
  • Jürgen Böhner
  • Diana Boy
  • Jens Boy
  • Foster Brown
  • Elisa Díaz García
  • Diana Figueroa
  • Oliver Frör
  • Georg Guggenberger
  • Marcus A. Horn
  • Shabeh ul Hasson
  • Christopher Jung
  • Elisabeth G. Lagneaux
  • Katharina H.E. Meurer
  • Claudia Pinzón Cuellar
  • Rüdiger Schaldach
  • Sabina Cerruto Ribeiro
  • Janpeter Schilling
  • Fernando A. Schmidt
  • Regine Schönenberg
  • Galia Selaya
  • Claudia M. Vega
  • Vanessa M.S. Vetter
  • Miguel Villavicenio
  • Daniel Callo-Concha
  • Merel Jansen
  • Hermann F. Jungkunst

Externe Organisationen

  • Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster (WWU)
  • Rheinland-Pfälzische Technische Universität Kaiserslautern-Landau (RPTU)
  • Friedensakademie Rheinland-Pfalz
  • Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn
  • Universität Kassel
  • Universität Hamburg
  • Woodwell Climate Research Center
  • Freie Universität Berlin (FU Berlin)
  • Wageningen University and Research
  • Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
  • Universidade Federal do Acre
  • ECOS Consult
  • Centro de Innovación Científica Amazónica (CINCIA)
  • ACEAA Conservación Amazónica
  • University of Bern
Forschungs-netzwerk anzeigen

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Aufsatznummer1145942
FachzeitschriftFrontiers in Climate
Jahrgang5
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 6 Juli 2023

Abstract

Humans play an interconnecting role in social-ecological systems (SES), they are part of these systems and act as agents of their destruction and regulation. This study aims to provide an analytical framework, which combines the concept of SES with the concept of tipping dynamics. As a result, we propose an analytical framework describing relevant dynamics and feedbacks within SES based on two matrixes: the “tipping matrix” and the “cross-impact matrix.” We take the Southwestern Amazon as an example for tropical regions at large and apply the proposed analytical framework to identify key underlying sub-systems within the study region: the soil ecosystem, the household livelihood system, the regional social system, and the regional climate system, which are interconnected through a network of feedbacks. We consider these sub-systems as tipping elements (TE), which when put under stress, can cross a tipping point (TP), resulting in a qualitative and potentially irreversible change of the respective TE. By systematically assessing linkages and feedbacks within and between TEs, our proposed analytical framework can provide an entry point for empirically assessing tipping point dynamics such as “tipping cascades,” which means that the crossing of a TP in one TE may force the tipping of another TE. Policy implications: The proposed joint description of the structure and dynamics within and across SES in respect to characteristics of tipping point dynamics promotes a better understanding of human-nature interactions and critical linkages within regional SES that may be used for effectively informing and directing empirical tipping point assessments, monitoring or intervention purposes. Thereby, the framework can inform policy-making for enhancing the resilience of regional SES.

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung

Zitieren

Describing complex interactions of social-ecological systems for tipping point assessments: an analytical framework. / Froese, Rebecca; Andrino, Alberto; Giudice, Renzo et al.
in: Frontiers in Climate, Jahrgang 5, 1145942, 06.07.2023.

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftArtikelForschungPeer-Review

Froese, R, Andrino, A, Giudice, R, Stuch, B, Kilian Salas, S, Böhner, J, Boy, D, Boy, J, Brown, F, Díaz García, E, Figueroa, D, Frör, O, Guggenberger, G, Horn, MA, Hasson, SU, Jung, C, Lagneaux, EG, Meurer, KHE, Pinzón Cuellar, C, Schaldach, R, Ribeiro, SC, Schilling, J, Schmidt, FA, Schönenberg, R, Selaya, G, Vega, CM, Vetter, VMS, Villavicenio, M, Callo-Concha, D, Jansen, M & Jungkunst, HF 2023, 'Describing complex interactions of social-ecological systems for tipping point assessments: an analytical framework', Frontiers in Climate, Jg. 5, 1145942. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2023.1145942
Froese, R., Andrino, A., Giudice, R., Stuch, B., Kilian Salas, S., Böhner, J., Boy, D., Boy, J., Brown, F., Díaz García, E., Figueroa, D., Frör, O., Guggenberger, G., Horn, M. A., Hasson, S. U., Jung, C., Lagneaux, E. G., Meurer, K. H. E., Pinzón Cuellar, C., ... Jungkunst, H. F. (2023). Describing complex interactions of social-ecological systems for tipping point assessments: an analytical framework. Frontiers in Climate, 5, Artikel 1145942. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2023.1145942
Froese R, Andrino A, Giudice R, Stuch B, Kilian Salas S, Böhner J et al. Describing complex interactions of social-ecological systems for tipping point assessments: an analytical framework. Frontiers in Climate. 2023 Jul 6;5:1145942. doi: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1145942
Froese, Rebecca ; Andrino, Alberto ; Giudice, Renzo et al. / Describing complex interactions of social-ecological systems for tipping point assessments : an analytical framework. in: Frontiers in Climate. 2023 ; Jahrgang 5.
Download
@article{0c3df8283d92490a9b5e3acc3c52afb7,
title = "Describing complex interactions of social-ecological systems for tipping point assessments: an analytical framework",
abstract = "Humans play an interconnecting role in social-ecological systems (SES), they are part of these systems and act as agents of their destruction and regulation. This study aims to provide an analytical framework, which combines the concept of SES with the concept of tipping dynamics. As a result, we propose an analytical framework describing relevant dynamics and feedbacks within SES based on two matrixes: the “tipping matrix” and the “cross-impact matrix.” We take the Southwestern Amazon as an example for tropical regions at large and apply the proposed analytical framework to identify key underlying sub-systems within the study region: the soil ecosystem, the household livelihood system, the regional social system, and the regional climate system, which are interconnected through a network of feedbacks. We consider these sub-systems as tipping elements (TE), which when put under stress, can cross a tipping point (TP), resulting in a qualitative and potentially irreversible change of the respective TE. By systematically assessing linkages and feedbacks within and between TEs, our proposed analytical framework can provide an entry point for empirically assessing tipping point dynamics such as “tipping cascades,” which means that the crossing of a TP in one TE may force the tipping of another TE. Policy implications: The proposed joint description of the structure and dynamics within and across SES in respect to characteristics of tipping point dynamics promotes a better understanding of human-nature interactions and critical linkages within regional SES that may be used for effectively informing and directing empirical tipping point assessments, monitoring or intervention purposes. Thereby, the framework can inform policy-making for enhancing the resilience of regional SES.",
keywords = "cross-impact matrix, feedbacks, livelihood strategy, moist convection, social cohesion, soil functional diversity, Southwestern Amazon, tipping matrix",
author = "Rebecca Froese and Alberto Andrino and Renzo Giudice and Benjamin Stuch and {Kilian Salas}, Simone and J{\"u}rgen B{\"o}hner and Diana Boy and Jens Boy and Foster Brown and {D{\'i}az Garc{\'i}a}, Elisa and Diana Figueroa and Oliver Fr{\"o}r and Georg Guggenberger and Horn, {Marcus A.} and Hasson, {Shabeh ul} and Christopher Jung and Lagneaux, {Elisabeth G.} and Meurer, {Katharina H.E.} and {Pinz{\'o}n Cuellar}, Claudia and R{\"u}diger Schaldach and Ribeiro, {Sabina Cerruto} and Janpeter Schilling and Schmidt, {Fernando A.} and Regine Sch{\"o}nenberg and Galia Selaya and Vega, {Claudia M.} and Vetter, {Vanessa M.S.} and Miguel Villavicenio and Daniel Callo-Concha and Merel Jansen and Jungkunst, {Hermann F.}",
note = "Funding Information: This research was funded by the German Ministry for Education and Research (BMBF) under Grant Number 01LC1824A to 01LC1824F, project PRODIGY. MJ was supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation under Grant Number P400PB_191055/1.",
year = "2023",
month = jul,
day = "6",
doi = "10.3389/fclim.2023.1145942",
language = "English",
volume = "5",

}

Download

TY - JOUR

T1 - Describing complex interactions of social-ecological systems for tipping point assessments

T2 - an analytical framework

AU - Froese, Rebecca

AU - Andrino, Alberto

AU - Giudice, Renzo

AU - Stuch, Benjamin

AU - Kilian Salas, Simone

AU - Böhner, Jürgen

AU - Boy, Diana

AU - Boy, Jens

AU - Brown, Foster

AU - Díaz García, Elisa

AU - Figueroa, Diana

AU - Frör, Oliver

AU - Guggenberger, Georg

AU - Horn, Marcus A.

AU - Hasson, Shabeh ul

AU - Jung, Christopher

AU - Lagneaux, Elisabeth G.

AU - Meurer, Katharina H.E.

AU - Pinzón Cuellar, Claudia

AU - Schaldach, Rüdiger

AU - Ribeiro, Sabina Cerruto

AU - Schilling, Janpeter

AU - Schmidt, Fernando A.

AU - Schönenberg, Regine

AU - Selaya, Galia

AU - Vega, Claudia M.

AU - Vetter, Vanessa M.S.

AU - Villavicenio, Miguel

AU - Callo-Concha, Daniel

AU - Jansen, Merel

AU - Jungkunst, Hermann F.

N1 - Funding Information: This research was funded by the German Ministry for Education and Research (BMBF) under Grant Number 01LC1824A to 01LC1824F, project PRODIGY. MJ was supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation under Grant Number P400PB_191055/1.

PY - 2023/7/6

Y1 - 2023/7/6

N2 - Humans play an interconnecting role in social-ecological systems (SES), they are part of these systems and act as agents of their destruction and regulation. This study aims to provide an analytical framework, which combines the concept of SES with the concept of tipping dynamics. As a result, we propose an analytical framework describing relevant dynamics and feedbacks within SES based on two matrixes: the “tipping matrix” and the “cross-impact matrix.” We take the Southwestern Amazon as an example for tropical regions at large and apply the proposed analytical framework to identify key underlying sub-systems within the study region: the soil ecosystem, the household livelihood system, the regional social system, and the regional climate system, which are interconnected through a network of feedbacks. We consider these sub-systems as tipping elements (TE), which when put under stress, can cross a tipping point (TP), resulting in a qualitative and potentially irreversible change of the respective TE. By systematically assessing linkages and feedbacks within and between TEs, our proposed analytical framework can provide an entry point for empirically assessing tipping point dynamics such as “tipping cascades,” which means that the crossing of a TP in one TE may force the tipping of another TE. Policy implications: The proposed joint description of the structure and dynamics within and across SES in respect to characteristics of tipping point dynamics promotes a better understanding of human-nature interactions and critical linkages within regional SES that may be used for effectively informing and directing empirical tipping point assessments, monitoring or intervention purposes. Thereby, the framework can inform policy-making for enhancing the resilience of regional SES.

AB - Humans play an interconnecting role in social-ecological systems (SES), they are part of these systems and act as agents of their destruction and regulation. This study aims to provide an analytical framework, which combines the concept of SES with the concept of tipping dynamics. As a result, we propose an analytical framework describing relevant dynamics and feedbacks within SES based on two matrixes: the “tipping matrix” and the “cross-impact matrix.” We take the Southwestern Amazon as an example for tropical regions at large and apply the proposed analytical framework to identify key underlying sub-systems within the study region: the soil ecosystem, the household livelihood system, the regional social system, and the regional climate system, which are interconnected through a network of feedbacks. We consider these sub-systems as tipping elements (TE), which when put under stress, can cross a tipping point (TP), resulting in a qualitative and potentially irreversible change of the respective TE. By systematically assessing linkages and feedbacks within and between TEs, our proposed analytical framework can provide an entry point for empirically assessing tipping point dynamics such as “tipping cascades,” which means that the crossing of a TP in one TE may force the tipping of another TE. Policy implications: The proposed joint description of the structure and dynamics within and across SES in respect to characteristics of tipping point dynamics promotes a better understanding of human-nature interactions and critical linkages within regional SES that may be used for effectively informing and directing empirical tipping point assessments, monitoring or intervention purposes. Thereby, the framework can inform policy-making for enhancing the resilience of regional SES.

KW - cross-impact matrix

KW - feedbacks

KW - livelihood strategy

KW - moist convection

KW - social cohesion

KW - soil functional diversity

KW - Southwestern Amazon

KW - tipping matrix

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85165273526&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.3389/fclim.2023.1145942

DO - 10.3389/fclim.2023.1145942

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85165273526

VL - 5

JO - Frontiers in Climate

JF - Frontiers in Climate

M1 - 1145942

ER -

Von denselben Autoren