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Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification: Application to the AIRMOD test structure

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Bericht/Sammelwerk/KonferenzbandAufsatz in KonferenzbandForschungPeer-Review

Autorschaft

  • Matteo Broggi
  • Matthias Faes
  • Edoardo Patelli
  • Yves Govers
  • Michael Beer

Externe Organisationen

  • KU Leuven
  • The University of Liverpool
  • Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V. (DLR)

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Titel des Sammelwerks2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings
Herausgeber (Verlag)Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Seiten1-8
Seitenumfang8
ISBN (elektronisch)9781538627259
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 2 Feb. 2018
Veranstaltung2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Honolulu, USA / Vereinigte Staaten
Dauer: 27 Nov. 20171 Dez. 2017

Publikationsreihe

Name2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings
Band2018-January

Abstract

This paper concerns the comparison of two inverse methods for the quantification of uncertain model parameters, based on experimentally obtained measurement data of the model's responses. Specifically, Bayesian inference is compared to a novel method for the quantification of multivariate interval uncertainty. The comparison is made by applying both methods to the AIRMOD measurement data set, and comparing their results critically in terms of obtained information and computational expense. Since computational cost of the application of both methods to high-dimensional problems and realistic numerical models can become intractable, an Artificial Neural Network surrogate is used for both methods. The application of this ANN proves to limit the computational cost to a large extent, even taking the generation of the training dataset into account. Concerning the comparison of both methods, it is found that the results of the Bayesian identification provide less over-conservative bounds on the uncertainty in the responses of the AIRMOD model.

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Zitieren

Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification: Application to the AIRMOD test structure. / Broggi, Matteo; Faes, Matthias; Patelli, Edoardo et al.
2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2018. S. 1-8 (2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings; Band 2018-January).

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Bericht/Sammelwerk/KonferenzbandAufsatz in KonferenzbandForschungPeer-Review

Broggi, M, Faes, M, Patelli, E, Govers, Y, Moens, D & Beer, M 2018, Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification: Application to the AIRMOD test structure. in 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings. 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings, Bd. 2018-January, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., S. 1-8, 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017, Honolulu, USA / Vereinigte Staaten, 27 Nov. 2017. https://doi.org/10.1109/SSCI.2017.8280882
Broggi, M., Faes, M., Patelli, E., Govers, Y., Moens, D., & Beer, M. (2018). Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification: Application to the AIRMOD test structure. In 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings (S. 1-8). (2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings; Band 2018-January). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/SSCI.2017.8280882
Broggi M, Faes M, Patelli E, Govers Y, Moens D, Beer M. Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification: Application to the AIRMOD test structure. in 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2018. S. 1-8. (2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings). doi: 10.1109/SSCI.2017.8280882
Broggi, Matteo ; Faes, Matthias ; Patelli, Edoardo et al. / Comparison of Bayesian and interval uncertainty quantification : Application to the AIRMOD test structure. 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2018. S. 1-8 (2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017 - Proceedings).
Download
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abstract = "This paper concerns the comparison of two inverse methods for the quantification of uncertain model parameters, based on experimentally obtained measurement data of the model's responses. Specifically, Bayesian inference is compared to a novel method for the quantification of multivariate interval uncertainty. The comparison is made by applying both methods to the AIRMOD measurement data set, and comparing their results critically in terms of obtained information and computational expense. Since computational cost of the application of both methods to high-dimensional problems and realistic numerical models can become intractable, an Artificial Neural Network surrogate is used for both methods. The application of this ANN proves to limit the computational cost to a large extent, even taking the generation of the training dataset into account. Concerning the comparison of both methods, it is found that the results of the Bayesian identification provide less over-conservative bounds on the uncertainty in the responses of the AIRMOD model.",
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