Climate anomalies and international migration: A disaggregated analysis for West Africa

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftArtikelForschungPeer-Review

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  • RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung e.V.
  • Weltbank
  • Universität Passau
  • Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit (IZA)
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Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Aufsatznummer102997
Seitenumfang27
FachzeitschriftJournal of Environmental Economics and Management
Jahrgang126
Frühes Online-Datum6 Mai 2024
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - Juli 2024

Abstract

Migration is one measure that individuals can take to adjust to the adverse impacts of increasingly extreme weather that can arise from climate change. Using novel geo-referenced high-frequency data, we investigate the impact of soil moisture anomalies on migration within West Africa and towards Europe. We estimate that a standard deviation decrease in soil moisture leads to a 2-percentage point drop in the probability of international migration, equivalent to a 25 percent decrease in the number of international migrants. This effect is concentrated during the months that immediately follow the crop-growing season among areas in the middle of the income distribution. The findings suggest that weather anomalies negatively affect agricultural production, leading to liquidity constraints that prevent people from moving internationally.

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Climate anomalies and international migration: A disaggregated analysis for West Africa. / Martínez Flores, Fernanda; Milusheva, Sveta; Reichert, Arndt R. et al.
in: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Jahrgang 126, 102997, 07.2024.

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftArtikelForschungPeer-Review

Martínez Flores F, Milusheva S, Reichert AR, Reitmann AK. Climate anomalies and international migration: A disaggregated analysis for West Africa. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. 2024 Jul;126:102997. Epub 2024 Mai 6. doi: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102997
Martínez Flores, Fernanda ; Milusheva, Sveta ; Reichert, Arndt R. et al. / Climate anomalies and international migration : A disaggregated analysis for West Africa. in: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. 2024 ; Jahrgang 126.
Download
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T2 - A disaggregated analysis for West Africa

AU - Martínez Flores, Fernanda

AU - Milusheva, Sveta

AU - Reichert, Arndt R.

AU - Reitmann, Ann Kristin

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AB - Migration is one measure that individuals can take to adjust to the adverse impacts of increasingly extreme weather that can arise from climate change. Using novel geo-referenced high-frequency data, we investigate the impact of soil moisture anomalies on migration within West Africa and towards Europe. We estimate that a standard deviation decrease in soil moisture leads to a 2-percentage point drop in the probability of international migration, equivalent to a 25 percent decrease in the number of international migrants. This effect is concentrated during the months that immediately follow the crop-growing season among areas in the middle of the income distribution. The findings suggest that weather anomalies negatively affect agricultural production, leading to liquidity constraints that prevent people from moving internationally.

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