A Simple Specification Procedure for the Transition Function in Persistent Nonlinear Time Series Models

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Bericht/Sammelwerk/KonferenzbandBeitrag in Buch/SammelwerkForschungPeer-Review

Autoren

  • Hendrik Kaufmann
  • Robinson Kruse
  • Philipp Sibbertsen

Organisationseinheiten

Externe Organisationen

  • Aarhus University
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Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Titel des SammelwerksRecent Advances in Estimating Nonlinear Models
UntertitelWith Applications in Economics and Finance
Herausgeber (Verlag)Springer New York
Seiten169-191
Seitenumfang23
Band9781461480600
ISBN (elektronisch)9781461480600
ISBN (Print)1461480590, 9781461480594
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 27 Aug. 2013

Abstract

A simple procedure for the specification of the transition function describing the regime switch in nonlinear autoregressive models is proposed. This procedure is based on auxiliary regressions of unit root tests and is applicable to a variety of transition functions. In contrast to other procedures, complicated and computer-intense estimation of the candidate models is not necessary. Our approach entirely relies on OLS estimation of auxiliary regressions instead. We use standard information criteria for the selection of the unknown transition function. Our Monte Carlo simulations reveal that the approach works well in practice. Empirical applications to the S&P500 price-earnings ratio and the US interest spread highlight the merits of our suggested procedure.

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Zitieren

A Simple Specification Procedure for the Transition Function in Persistent Nonlinear Time Series Models. / Kaufmann, Hendrik; Kruse, Robinson; Sibbertsen, Philipp.
Recent Advances in Estimating Nonlinear Models: With Applications in Economics and Finance. Band 9781461480600 Springer New York, 2013. S. 169-191.

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Bericht/Sammelwerk/KonferenzbandBeitrag in Buch/SammelwerkForschungPeer-Review

Kaufmann, H, Kruse, R & Sibbertsen, P 2013, A Simple Specification Procedure for the Transition Function in Persistent Nonlinear Time Series Models. in Recent Advances in Estimating Nonlinear Models: With Applications in Economics and Finance. Bd. 9781461480600, Springer New York, S. 169-191. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-8060-0_9
Kaufmann, H., Kruse, R., & Sibbertsen, P. (2013). A Simple Specification Procedure for the Transition Function in Persistent Nonlinear Time Series Models. In Recent Advances in Estimating Nonlinear Models: With Applications in Economics and Finance (Band 9781461480600, S. 169-191). Springer New York. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-8060-0_9
Kaufmann H, Kruse R, Sibbertsen P. A Simple Specification Procedure for the Transition Function in Persistent Nonlinear Time Series Models. in Recent Advances in Estimating Nonlinear Models: With Applications in Economics and Finance. Band 9781461480600. Springer New York. 2013. S. 169-191 Epub 2013 Jan 1. doi: 10.1007/978-1-4614-8060-0_9
Kaufmann, Hendrik ; Kruse, Robinson ; Sibbertsen, Philipp. / A Simple Specification Procedure for the Transition Function in Persistent Nonlinear Time Series Models. Recent Advances in Estimating Nonlinear Models: With Applications in Economics and Finance. Band 9781461480600 Springer New York, 2013. S. 169-191
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